PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

1234ab

0x5f8ec8b9c07547d93ac7206ef75c1b625e6021b7

Realised P&L
$26.8k
Volume
$6.92M
Markets traded
1,795
Open portfolio
$8.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,795
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8410.885$5.8k+$289.15
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8900.870$937.86$21.56
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1560.115$758.70$271.52
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9300.953$342.90+$8.23
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9200.955$129.88+$4.76
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No0.9320.964$48.20+$1.60
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1000.045$38.48$47.02
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5360.564$25.36+$1.24
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1060.111$16.57+$0.68
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9000.925$14.80+$0.40
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.1300.080$13.95$8.72
Counter-Strike: Benched gods vs Arch (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season · Arch0.5700.500$4.50$0.63
Valorant: Low Cortisol vs 7VEN STARS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffs · Low Cortisol0.8900.501$3.01$2.33
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Team Lynx (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group B · RE.Arise0.3970.000$0.00$5.56
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs ex-Sashi Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs · Misa Esports0.7950.000$0.00$27.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 15:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$83.50
09-06 15:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$21.00
09-06 15:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$3.00
09-06 15:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$27.00
09-06 15:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$125.00
09-06 15:11Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$20.00
09-06 14:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$21.50
09-05 03:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.49$24.99
09-04 15:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5292012049$132.50
09-04 14:28Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$36.50
09-04 14:23Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$32.64
09-04 12:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5150476127$10.40
09-04 12:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$125.00
09-04 12:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$20.40
09-04 12:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.55$45.10