1234ab
0x5f8ec8b9c07547d93ac7206ef75c1b625e6021b7
- Realised P&L
- $26.8k
- Volume
- $6.92M
- Markets traded
- 1,795
- Open portfolio
- $8.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,795
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.0kat 0.006Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$41.2kat 0.005Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
- +$35.8kat 0.003Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
- +$28.1kat 0.400Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$27.8kat 0.156US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 15:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $83.50 |
| 09-06 15:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $21.00 |
| 09-06 15:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 09-06 15:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $27.00 |
| 09-06 15:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $125.00 |
| 09-06 15:11 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-06 14:45 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $21.50 |
| 09-05 03:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $24.99 |
| 09-04 15:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5292012049 | $132.50 |
| 09-04 14:28 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $36.50 |
| 09-04 14:23 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $32.64 |
| 09-04 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5150476127 | $10.40 |
| 09-04 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $125.00 |
| 09-04 12:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-04 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $45.10 |