PolyBot

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Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-13
Resolves by
https://www.nobelprize.org/
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.14 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.08 to 0.53. 72 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13223223
0.1455278
0.1520298
0.1639338
0.1720358
0.1842399
0.22400799
0.7318817
0.7480897
0.8918915
0.9010925
0.9115941

Spread0.02Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.111,3191,319
0.104171,736
0.09681,804
0.08341,838
0.06261,864
0.03191,884
0.02471,931
0.01611,992

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.891,3191,319
0.904171,736
0.91681,804
0.92341,838
0.94261,864
0.97191,884
0.98471,931
0.99611,992

Spread0.02Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87223223
0.8655278
0.8520298
0.8439338
0.8320358
0.8242399
0.78400799
0.2718817
0.2680897
0.1118915
0.1010925
0.0915941

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
tradetosurvive1Yes325
0x5caac32F68c19aeAB0023F12726B9a9645184831-1779438789697Yes150
Dr.PNLYes122.45
SuSuDORISYes81.95
chessplayerYes41.89
0x29Ab5Acc1fA9bb212e84c4FDb58A45702AF31cCe-1781644715713Yes41.67
bechamelYes40
alualu28Yes33.33
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
sdssdsYes20
0xFbA15A12066f55c6735499Af3CC323f4852B5F50-1767736190501Yes16.67
zka911Yes15.38
0x2ce3…9e67Yes12.64
AnjunYes12.1
noibNo756.49
HaradwaithNo50
bufogodisNo41.9
2B9SNo36.67
clazzy1No34.27
prov123No10.98

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:53:19BUYYes0.119999997617$2.00
13:53:19BUYYes0.119999997617$2.00
12:20:13SELLNo0.882$1.46
10:01:00BUYYes0.11999999942$5.00
18:15:35BUYNo0.8899999111$1.00
13:55:50SELLNo0.871$0.64
13:49:12SELLNo0.872$1.67
10:54:14BUYYes0.129999994815$2.00
21:37:00BUYNo0.889999997311$9.77
20:31:41BUYYes0.14999999733$5.00
20:31:41SELLYes0.13148$19.24
19:31:42SELLYes0.1320$2.60
19:31:42SELLYes0.1360$7.80
19:31:40BUYNo0.85723$614.69
19:31:40BUYNo0.8720$17.40
19:31:40BUYNo0.86999998920$17.39
19:31:40BUYNo0.8720$17.40
19:31:40BUYNo0.869999962420$17.80
18:08:00SELLYes0.1537$5.55
18:07:51SELLYes0.1520$3.00
18:07:42BUYNo0.82200$164.00
18:07:42BUYNo0.835$4.15
18:07:42BUYNo0.848784689621$17.60
18:07:42BUYNo0.8315$12.45
18:07:42BUYNo0.8278720$16.56