0xFbA15A12066f55c6735499Af3CC323f4852B5F50-1767736190501
0xfba15a12066f55c6735499af3cc323f4852b5f50
- Realised P&L
- $-0.22
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $6.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.11at 0.090Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$4.59at 0.085Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.24at 0.320Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$4.14at 0.195Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?
- +$4.06at 0.432Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $0.66 |
| 10-09 14:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | SELL | 0.75 | $1.31 |
| 10-09 14:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 13:53 | Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999976 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 13:53 | Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 13:52 | Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 00:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.17 |
| 10-04 04:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 04:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 19:59 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4199999496 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 18:20 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $2.00 |
| 07-14 19:50 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.1874999355 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 01:03 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.185 | $8.92 |