PolyBot

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Traders

prov123

0xf1439cec1e9714edb84a526af10bee2ef6d34ef2

Realised P&L
$96.67
Volume
$69.0k
Markets traded
526
Open portfolio
$864.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded526
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? · No0.7100.825$86.59+$12.07
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · No0.7700.715$82.52$6.35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6200.515$79.60$16.23
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5500.405$62.61$22.41
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7100.765$57.99+$4.17
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%? · No0.7300.725$57.57$0.40
Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7380.684$57.17$4.47
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.6400.635$54.82$0.43
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.6950.690$51.65$0.40
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.5800.665$47.12+$6.02
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.6200.495$34.57$8.73
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.5600.335$29.20$19.62
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.9000.885$24.72$0.42
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8400.905$16.59+$1.19
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? · No0.8980.890$15.27$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 21:46Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?SELL0.87$19.73
09-17 21:43Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?SELL0.562$14.73
09-17 21:27Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsBUY0.6199999892$4.61
09-17 21:27Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.8399999781$4.61
09-17 20:54Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?SELL0.9282508251$5.63
09-17 20:20US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.459999957$3.85
09-17 19:30Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.778007623$22.45
09-17 19:28Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.8266666667$24.80
09-17 17:51Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.8278761062$29.94
09-17 13:31Counter-Strike: NIP vs B8 (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group ASELL0.86$9.81
09-17 03:36Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5BUY0.7$3.78
09-16 23:07Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8$7.33
09-16 23:05Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group BSELL0.8883426029$15.97
09-16 22:00Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?BUY0.7189999505$3.53
09-16 22:00Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Taylor TownsendBUY0.5099999611$3.54