0x29Ab5Acc1fA9bb212e84c4FDb58A45702AF31cCe-1781644715713
0x29ab5acc1fa9bb212e84c4fdb58a45702af31cce
- Realised P&L
- $-78.37
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $19.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.160 | $11.43 | +$1.43 |
| Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $4.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.103 | $2.93 | −$0.07 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.35at 0.355Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
- +$33.04at 0.441Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$15.31at 0.405Exact Score: Any Other Score?
- +$15.19at 0.397Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?
- +$14.81at 0.256Exact Score: Any Other Score?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 10:01 | Will Richard Blundell win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.1059999992 | $3.00 |
| 10-09 10:01 | Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 10:00 | Will Susan Athey win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 03:24 | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.82 |
| 10-09 03:24 | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.143 | $5.43 |
| 07-19 20:54 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5199999861 | $8.95 |
| 07-19 20:54 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.1138348589 | $1.49 |
| 07-19 20:50 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.5524999909 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 20:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.1524999365 | $2.00 |
| 07-18 22:31 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.4679999971 | $14.25 |
| 07-18 22:29 | Spread: England (-3.5) | SELL | 0.991 | $14.71 |
| 07-18 22:18 | Will France win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.1039999402 | $1.46 |
| 07-18 22:17 | France vs. England: France O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.992 | $1.52 |
| 07-18 22:12 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2899999296 | $2.47 |
| 07-18 22:12 | France vs. England: France O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $1.12 |