020112
0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $300.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $31.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.480Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.890Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
- +$1.0kat 0.776Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
- +$913.29at 0.110Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
- +$565.84at 0.426Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:54 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7988016523 | $3.3k |
| 08-02 21:54 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.8100833879 | $1.7k |
| 08-02 03:25 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $21.26 |
| 08-02 03:13 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.7778723635 | $3.0k |
| 08-02 03:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.81 | $105.41 |
| 08-02 02:55 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6642657948 | $322.04 |
| 08-02 02:35 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.79 | $243.52 |
| 08-02 02:19 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.4846207063 | $701.90 |
| 08-02 00:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 00:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899558239 | $430.00 |
| 08-01 23:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1698758073 | $136.78 |
| 08-01 01:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.2k |
| 07-31 21:22 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.4399999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-31 21:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.48 | $110.79 |
| 07-31 21:08 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0054314264 | $8.18 |