PolyBot

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Traders

cryptomemecoingambler

0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee

Realised P&L
$19.8k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$45.2k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.8790.950$10.6k+$793.65
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No0.8820.865$7.1k$137.37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.8240.925$6.0k+$660.64
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21? · No0.8310.955$5.5k+$720.98
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? · No0.7530.945$2.6k+$518.93
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? · No0.2590.625$2.5k+$1.5k
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? · No0.6000.885$1.9k+$617.43
Christopher Luxon out by September 30? · No0.5630.976$1.6k+$683.21
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? · Yes0.4450.505$1.3k+$158.22
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.6030.165$1.2k$3.3k
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · No0.6240.745$1.1k+$174.37
Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? · No0.3650.455$593.96+$117.03
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? · No0.8320.984$520.96+$80.45
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · No0.3560.445$365.48+$73.36
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31? · No0.9360.895$333.87$15.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 21:57Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.56$653.12
09-15 00:08Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?SELL0.2081311816$142.25
09-13 19:21Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?BUY0.2048780485$80.00
09-13 19:20Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?BUY0.837583989$3.0k
09-13 19:08Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.62$136.38
09-13 19:02Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?BUY0.4191941411$500.00
09-13 17:44Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?BUY0.4956649895$264.01
09-13 17:43Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?SELL0.33$1.6k
09-12 19:04Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.28$4.20
09-12 19:04Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.2879164351$1.2k
09-12 18:22Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.24$20.21
09-12 16:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.88$3.5k
09-12 16:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.2451647687$1.2k
09-11 19:30Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?BUY0.25$25.00
09-11 07:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?SELL0.16$451.30