wienerdog
0x187fbd3114592d6a5420c937ca14e9cf64f55fee
- Realised P&L
- $16.4k
- Volume
- $2.66M
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $41.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.0kat 0.013Will Navi Pillay win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$4.9kat 0.729Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
- +$4.4kat 0.013Will Save the Children win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.507US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$3.8kat 0.287Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4? | SELL | 0.9122856327 | $3.5k |
| 10-31 23:33 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.3790527295 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 22:48 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31? | BUY | 0.3891111111 | $175.10 |
| 10-31 19:15 | Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? | SELL | 0.5927307092 | $686.80 |
| 10-31 01:09 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8891771251 | $1.1k |
| 10-31 00:29 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.3089470975 | $522.09 |
| 10-31 00:23 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.3178763374 | $123.59 |
| 10-31 00:19 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.3004551421 | $300.00 |
| 10-31 00:15 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.2996366739 | $900.00 |
| 10-30 23:31 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | SELL | 0.2277133333 | $68.31 |
| 10-30 23:31 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? | BUY | 0.2464500053 | $1.7k |
| 10-30 22:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999994 | $1.2k |
| 10-30 21:06 | Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.565876192 | $72.40 |
| 10-30 21:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $943.91 |
| 10-30 18:05 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.2k |