PolyBot

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Traders

0x2ce3a68b750545140e33837f04b1c580378f9e67

0x2ce3a68b750545140e33837f04b1c580378f9e67

Realised P&L
$-11.11
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$187.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Grizzlies vs. Bulls · Grizzlies0.4400.435$98.86−$1.14
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · No0.8200.790$48.17−$1.83
Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas Aces · Las Vegas Aces0.6400.625$39.06−$0.94
Will Michael Woodford win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? · Yes0.3960.115$1.45−$3.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 14:21Golden State Valkyries vs. Las Vegas AcesBUY0.64$40.00
10-09 14:08Grizzlies vs. BullsBUY0.4399999986$50.00
10-09 14:08Grizzlies vs. BullsBUY0.4399999986$50.00
10-09 00:55Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.5$99.11
10-09 00:34Pelicans vs. HeatSELL0.7547358591$113.15
10-09 00:34Pelicans vs. HeatSELL0.726470549$108.91
10-09 00:10Pelicans vs. HeatBUY0.6006029633$100.00
10-08 11:33Celtics vs. CavaliersSELL0.57$107.54
10-08 10:53Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsSELL0.0912923236$14.13
10-08 10:14Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.0699999994$5.00
10-08 09:28Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsBUY0.119999999$10.00
10-08 06:30Celtics vs. CavaliersBUY0.529999998$100.00
10-08 06:24Pelicans vs. HeatBUY0.75$100.00
10-08 04:31Warriors vs. Trail BlazersSELL0.999$56.56
10-08 03:52Warriors vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.7064676604$40.00