PolyBot

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Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.005. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.005100100
0.006377477
0.012152629
0.01950679
0.03050729
0.05110739
0.05282821
0.08625846
0.08795941
0.08850991
0.094101,001
0.129501,051

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.995100100
0.994377477
0.988152629
0.98150679
0.97050729
0.94910739
0.94882821
0.91425846
0.91395941
0.91250991
0.906101,001
0.871501,051

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
caspar1248Yes1,324
e46m3Yes1,256.5
Z91EXYes662.27
HaradwaithYes376.9
northdrawerYes215
x1099Yes200
god83743894Yes178.68
godblessme2026Yes166.5
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060Yes161
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
quietparcelYes122.42
mustbethewaterYes121
0x11b2…6d33Yes100
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes100
TENETENETYes99.99
MetrixNeoYes99.99
smallreceiptYes90
merodYes55.22
plainfolderYes55
a5533Yes50

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:33:30SELLYes0.001100$0.10
11:50:12BUYYes0.01100$1.00
09:04:49SELLYes0.00172$0.07
09:01:12SELLYes0.001106$0.11
08:50:54SELLYes0.0016$0.01
08:49:40BUYYes0.001509952662$1.00
16:11:55BUYYes0.001200$0.20
04:42:29BUYNo0.9997$6.99
16:33:45BUYNo0.99920$19.98
12:19:56BUYNo0.99940$39.96
12:19:50BUYNo0.99940$39.96
12:36:06BUYNo0.99910$9.79
12:16:24BUYNo0.99910$9.99
03:58:08BUYNo0.99917$16.64
10:07:07BUYNo0.99915$15.31
14:17:33BUYNo0.99940$39.96
12:24:22BUYNo0.99911$10.99
19:01:37BUYNo0.99910$9.99
23:19:49BUYNo0.99925$24.97
23:19:49BUYNo0.99920$19.98
23:19:27BUYNo0.9999$8.99
23:19:25BUYNo0.99930$29.97
23:19:18BUYNo0.998843571414$13.98
15:47:00BUYNo0.9987$7.01
15:11:54BUYNo0.9986$5.96