plainfolder
0x28bf066c6cb952da62d6d182c16ad173ada64a4e
- Realised P&L
- $194.0k
- Volume
- $6.85M
- Markets traded
- 55,045
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded55,045
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.006Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$7.7kat 0.379Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.7kat 0.438Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$6.2kat 0.532Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$4.3kat 0.998Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.88375 | $35.35 |
| 09-17 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-17 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $29.10 |
| 09-17 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 09-17 03:04 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |
| 09-17 03:04 | Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.976 | $9.76 |
| 09-17 03:03 | Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | BUY | 0.975 | $39.00 |
| 09-17 03:00 | Will Google Maps be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.91 |
| 09-17 03:00 | Will Google Maps be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will BLG be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings? | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 09-17 02:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $39.52 |
| 09-17 02:52 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 09-17 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-17 02:43 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |