Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-26
Rewards: 80 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.11 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.07 to 0.20. 125 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	200	200
0.11	3,268	3,468
0.12	6,421	9,890
0.13	3,124	13,013
0.14	5,322	18,335
0.15	4,794	23,130
0.16	4,094	27,224
0.17	3,219	30,443
0.18	5,017	35,459
0.19	80	35,539
0.20	2,219	37,758
0.21	2,381	40,139

Spread0.01Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	857	857
0.08	2,819	3,676
0.07	1,389	5,065
0.06	1,741	6,806
0.05	8,568	15,374
0.04	19,883	35,258
0.03	21,302	56,560
0.02	42,720	99,280
0.01	31,383	130,662

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	857	857
0.92	2,819	3,676
0.93	1,389	5,065
0.94	1,741	6,806
0.95	8,568	15,374
0.96	19,883	35,258
0.97	21,302	56,560
0.98	42,720	99,280
0.99	31,383	130,662

Spread0.01Mid0.91

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	200	200
0.89	3,268	3,468
0.88	6,421	9,890
0.87	3,124	13,013
0.86	5,322	18,335
0.85	4,794	23,130
0.84	4,094	27,224
0.83	3,219	30,443
0.82	5,017	35,459
0.81	80	35,539
0.80	2,219	37,758
0.79	2,381	40,139

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	17,545.74
anoin123	Yes	4,036.97
0x38B63F2a6393a72A9042915A4D45edf38e3935B9-1767625381840	Yes	2,500
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	2,305.28
9797979797997	Yes	1,953.99
novv25	Yes	1,795.72
suntori	Yes	1,471.25
0xf72aBb0E12De23d14489Cb8195C5c78c595654f2-1776295738943	Yes	1,142.78
sohperde_69_420	Yes	1,061.58
Predictandbreathe	Yes	999.97
0xe1EB1D334999A4aA8688655ACc417AcB9892e902-1791514192130	Yes	789.36
Haradwaith	Yes	625.08
urhfrhchj123123	Yes	462.2
donthackme	Yes	440.79
TheOne777	Yes	440.27
kadu	Yes	397.96
neverhackme	Yes	336.2
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	299.99
0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983	Yes	287.91
DerDon	Yes	214

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:04:28	BUY	Yes	0.1	100	$9.98
20:54:22	SELL	Yes	0.09	50	$4.50
20:46:22	SELL	Yes	0.09	50	$4.50
20:16:30	BUY	Yes	0.09	114	$10.26
18:55:07	SELL	Yes	0.09	16	$1.44
18:42:34	BUY	No	0.91	20	$18.20
18:42:28	BUY	No	0.91	113	$102.70
18:42:22	BUY	No	0.9	13	$11.52
18:42:22	BUY	No	0.908244	25	$22.71
18:28:36	BUY	No	0.9	73	$66.01
18:28:36	BUY	No	0.9	22	$20.09
18:20:10	BUY	No	0.9	37	$33.34
18:20:04	BUY	Yes	0.1099999999	91	$10.00
17:50:49	SELL	Yes	0.1	3	$0.33
14:01:10	BUY	Yes	0.11	96	$10.58
13:56:37	BUY	Yes	0.1099999999	91	$10.00
13:49:01	BUY	Yes	0.11	96	$10.58
13:35:51	BUY	Yes	0.11	96	$10.58
13:31:33	BUY	Yes	0.1	87	$8.72
13:30:10	BUY	Yes	0.09	96	$8.65
13:28:12	BUY	Yes	0.09	96	$8.65
13:27:30	BUY	Yes	0.09	192	$17.31
13:22:30	SELL	Yes	0.08	50	$4.00
13:22:07	BUY	Yes	0.08	123	$9.86
13:21:13	BUY	Yes	0.08	100	$8.00