novv25
0xa9fe4929d4ea1525ca03bd0ff68ea1fbf9e7f135
- Realised P&L
- $-306.6k
- Volume
- $6.81M
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $29.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.2kat 0.390Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$25.3kat 0.674US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$14.8kat 0.780Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$12.1kat 0.364Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$10.6kat 0.405No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 06:00 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999946 | $7.37 |
| 09-12 11:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999989 | $16.09 |
| 09-12 08:56 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.7k |
| 09-12 03:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999978 | $5.88 |
| 09-12 03:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.22 | $611.32 |
| 09-12 00:30 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.15 |
| 09-12 00:30 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $115.99 |
| 09-11 22:33 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $46.49 |
| 09-11 14:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $94.30 |
| 09-11 13:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.5k |
| 09-11 13:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $380.60 |
| 09-11 13:37 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | SELL | 0.0401579887 | $164.84 |
| 09-11 13:37 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.0465857745 | $218.55 |
| 09-11 13:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.6k |
| 09-11 13:35 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | SELL | 0.0770044541 | $1.6k |