PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983

0xf5e47caf8b2e23aa9230d70758bdb2c9747f471a

Realised P&L
$9.2k
Volume
$548.5k
Markets traded
557
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded557
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.1530.055$285.50$511.50
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.1730.075$276.46$363.04
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes0.2180.240$276.23+$25.62
Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.2200.996$255.90+$199.38
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · No0.2540.390$214.29+$74.68
Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? · No0.0151.000$205.86+$202.86
Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0850.042$139.34$141.58
Will Kyle Campbell win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? · Yes0.0121.000$129.22+$127.67
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? · Yes0.0620.033$122.41$109.25
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 achieve a successful splashdown? · No0.1990.140$92.18$39.12
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? · Yes0.2810.135$78.32$84.93
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.1170.380$76.43+$52.92
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3400.345$66.68+$0.97
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2690.085$65.92$142.93
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes0.1620.220$65.64+$17.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 13:02Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.34$65.72
09-15 22:41Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco?SELL0.25$5.41
09-14 15:19Will Russia target Kyiv on September 14, 2026?BUY0.02$2.70
09-13 21:54Will voter turnout in the 2026 Sweden parliamentary election be 88% or more?SELL0.07$0.70
09-13 21:16Will Ehsan Kangarani win the next Göttingen mayoral election?BUY0.03$2.34
09-13 21:05Will Patricia Mair win the next Salzgitter mayoral election?BUY0.0152557624$4.96
09-13 19:57Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?SELL0.032$5.44
09-13 19:44Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?SELL0.3757631808$94.79
09-12 19:35Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?SELL0.889$32.00
09-12 19:12Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?SELL0.8866666667$13.30
09-12 18:48Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?BUY0.31$3.10
09-12 13:23Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?BUY0.09$2.21
09-12 12:59Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?SELL0.5$5.00
09-12 11:25Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 19?SELL0.5$27.50
09-11 23:35Will the Centre Party (C) win the fifth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.22$56.52