kadu
0x6f677e4c493cbd2184fcf90f855fe07087008d70
- Realised P&L
- $-6.6k
- Volume
- $3.59M
- Markets traded
- 482
- Open portfolio
- $329.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded482
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.480Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$1.9kat 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
- +$1.6kat 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.650Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$892.51at 0.550Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 09-22 03:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 09-22 02:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 02:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-22 01:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 00:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 09-22 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 20:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.123 | $73.80 |
| 09-21 19:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $111.00 |
| 09-21 19:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $16.00 |
| 09-21 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $54.00 |
| 09-21 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4825 | $19.30 |
| 09-21 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2916666667 | $8.75 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 09-21 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |