PolyBot

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Traders

kadu

0x6f677e4c493cbd2184fcf90f855fe07087008d70

Realised P&L
$-6.6k
Volume
$3.59M
Markets traded
482
Open portfolio
$329.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded482
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8570.879$196.24+$5.02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.3140.265$67.68−$12.59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.1000.095$37.81−$1.99
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? · Yes0.1460.152$15.25+$0.65
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.3700.485$12.13+$2.88
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up0.1450.000$0.00−$29.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET · Up0.0400.000$0.00−$18.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.1320.000$0.00−$34.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.1800.000$0.00−$14.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET · Down0.0840.000$0.00−$103.75
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5900.000$0.00−$590.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.0450.000$0.00−$1.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.0710.000$0.00−$9.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$26.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 15:36Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.51$51.00
09-22 03:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY0.01$0.40
09-22 02:47Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.12$6.00
09-22 02:25Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.33$6.60
09-22 01:14Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.5$100.00
09-22 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.41$41.00
09-22 00:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.05$5.00
09-21 20:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETBUY0.123$73.80
09-21 19:37Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:45PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.52$111.00
09-21 19:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.08$16.00
09-21 14:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETBUY0.54$54.00
09-21 14:41Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ETBUY0.4825$19.30
09-21 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETBUY0.2916666667$8.75
09-21 13:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.51$153.00
09-21 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.4$120.00