PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Predictandbreathe

0x2707f2e693b3d20b5a17b603c532571108140afa

Realised P&L
$-157.2k
Volume
$20.40M
Markets traded
3,104
Open portfolio
$10.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,104
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? · Yes0.0510.183$1.9k+$1.4k
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · Yes0.4310.575$1.4k+$344.99
Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? · No0.1710.165$1.3k−$48.28
Will André do Prado win the second-most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? · Yes0.1910.591$946.78+$641.37
Will Sandro Alex win the Governor of Paraná election? · Yes0.1720.150$625.29−$90.59
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? · Yes0.4290.385$615.23−$70.65
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.3090.255$510.00−$107.65
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.0910.076$494.38−$96.86
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.1640.045$297.00−$784.84
Will Marina JHC win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election? · Yes0.2490.355$237.62+$70.78
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? · Yes0.4760.370$167.98−$48.20
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.4200.580$164.14+$45.28
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? · No0.1530.116$141.83−$46.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3990.435$141.38+$11.63
Will Filipe Barros win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? · Yes0.2520.555$138.75+$75.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 16:13Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.0829225$82.92
09-25 13:36Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.1$250.00
09-25 13:26Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.086$3.30
09-25 13:13Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.067$0.34
09-25 10:18Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.21$210.00
09-25 02:24Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.3605263158$41.10
09-25 02:22Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?SELL0.2480094445$553.55
09-25 02:22Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?SELL0.7698477693$904.72
09-24 19:48Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.11$2.86
09-24 16:41Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?BUY0.0827$8.27
09-24 16:39Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.29$33.06
09-23 18:58Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.305$92.26
09-23 17:01Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.02483044$24.83
09-23 16:59Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.41$41.00
09-23 16:06Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.3137087379$969.36