Predictandbreathe
0x2707f2e693b3d20b5a17b603c532571108140afa
- Realised P&L
- $-157.2k
- Volume
- $20.40M
- Markets traded
- 3,104
- Open portfolio
- $10.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,104
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.5kat 0.438Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$27.5kat 0.050Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?
- +$16.7kat 0.424Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?
- +$15.4kat 0.195US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$15.0kat 0.572Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 16:13 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0829225 | $82.92 |
| 09-25 13:36 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1 | $250.00 |
| 09-25 13:26 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.086 | $3.30 |
| 09-25 13:13 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.067 | $0.34 |
| 09-25 10:18 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 09-25 02:24 | Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3605263158 | $41.10 |
| 09-25 02:22 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | SELL | 0.2480094445 | $553.55 |
| 09-25 02:22 | Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | SELL | 0.7698477693 | $904.72 |
| 09-24 19:48 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.86 |
| 09-24 16:41 | Will André do Prado win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | BUY | 0.0827 | $8.27 |
| 09-24 16:39 | Will Renan Santos finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.29 | $33.06 |
| 09-23 18:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.305 | $92.26 |
| 09-23 17:01 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | BUY | 0.02483044 | $24.83 |
| 09-23 16:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 09-23 16:06 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.3137087379 | $969.36 |