PolyBot

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Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.39. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.28 to 0.54. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.471818
0.48826
0.49100126
0.546132
0.5610142
0.5830172
0.5920192
0.635197
0.6550247
0.669256
0.7110266
0.7220286

Spread0.16Mid0.39

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.318787
0.2320107
0.2111118
0.2030148
0.1931179
0.175184
0.165189
0.13173362
0.12416778
0.1125803
0.1010813
0.0920833

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.698787
0.7720107
0.7911118
0.8030148
0.8131179
0.835184
0.845189
0.87173362
0.88416778
0.8925803
0.9010813
0.9120833

Spread0.16Mid0.61

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.531818
0.52826
0.51100126
0.466132
0.4410142
0.4230172
0.4120192
0.375197
0.3550247
0.349256
0.2910266
0.2820286

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x8A8cbDbaC429DD5d0f3fB15109e1d5a9cE8428dB-1772485751316Yes2,008.9
nellojelloYes1,385
zhaoykYes1,004.97
28763Yes804
KotejiYes720.54
ToTYes698.69
Serega-proYes405.48
LLLLLXJJJJJJJYes318.95
skymilongYes269.97
SweetChariotYes212.06
dwaynehindman29Yes211.43
0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983Yes201.13
rando12345Yes199.97
ProveniumYes135.27
needmoney4foodYes126.01
rousseauuuYes119.99
Arbgod-himselfYes110.06
rudydaninjaYes108.14
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231Yes104.81
rplt-fbYes99.71

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:47:49BUYYes0.41999989082$1.00
01:55:07BUYYes0.4235$14.67
01:15:18BUYYes0.3563$22.05
01:13:57BUYYes0.357$2.45
19:04:49SELLYes0.231969736876$17.63
10:38:28BUYYes0.422$0.93
07:13:54BUYYes0.425$2.10
07:13:48BUYYes0.425$2.10
07:11:21SELLYes0.3335110$3.34
05:47:00SELLYes0.4200487580$33.60
05:46:10SELLYes0.4324$10.32
11:25:01SELLYes0.471$28.40
08:27:30BUYYes0.5910098944338$200.00
07:02:18SELLYes0.3938$14.82
06:56:01SELLYes0.3938$14.82
22:28:03BUYNo0.567616878101$57.31
21:51:48BUYYes0.6010672973370$222.39
15:30:34BUYYes0.540360356381$44.00
09:56:55BUYYes0.550918529117$9.50
07:48:28SELLNo0.4717$8.18
18:29:00SELLYes0.3349685342130$43.65
17:09:25BUYNo0.454095487244$20.00
07:07:04BUYYes0.5519$10.45
08:15:06BUYYes0.585$2.90
08:14:40BUYNo0.438$3.44