Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.69. up 0.15 over the period, from 0.54. Range 0.51 to 0.69. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.71	20	20
0.73	37	57
0.74	20	77
0.75	258	335
0.79	17	352
0.80	280	632
0.84	20	652
0.86	6	658
0.87	6	664
0.88	67	731
0.89	51	782
0.91	17	799

Spread0.05Mid0.69

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.66	6	6
0.65	47	52
0.64	230	283
0.62	280	563
0.60	653	1,216
0.52	15	1,231
0.42	100	1,331
0.41	8	1,339
0.29	5	1,344
0.25	347	1,690
0.18	275	1,966
0.17	200	2,166

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.34	6	6
0.35	47	52
0.36	230	283
0.38	280	563
0.40	653	1,216
0.48	15	1,231
0.58	100	1,331
0.59	8	1,339
0.71	5	1,344
0.75	347	1,690
0.82	275	1,966
0.83	200	2,166

Spread0.05Mid0.32

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.29	20	20
0.27	37	57
0.26	20	77
0.25	258	335
0.21	17	352
0.20	280	632
0.16	20	652
0.14	6	658
0.13	6	664
0.12	67	731
0.11	51	782
0.09	17	799

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x8A8cbDbaC429DD5d0f3fB15109e1d5a9cE8428dB-1772485751316	Yes	2,008.9
nellojello	Yes	1,387.66
zhaoyk	Yes	1,004.97
28763	Yes	804
ToT	Yes	760.05
Koteji	Yes	720.54
Serega-pro	Yes	405.48
LLLLLXJJJJJJJ	Yes	310.86
skymilong	Yes	269.97
spacegliderr	Yes	257.97
hhhhhhhh123212	Yes	249.89
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	245.81
SweetChariot	Yes	212.06
dwaynehindman29	Yes	211.43
0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983	Yes	201.13
rando12345	Yes	199.97
Provenium	Yes	135.27
needmoney4food	Yes	126.01
rousseauuu	Yes	119.99
Arbgod-himself	Yes	110.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:43:21	BUY	Yes	0.7019774001	10	$7.00
18:19:31	BUY	Yes	0.7	2	$1.40
14:43:28	SELL	No	0.31	19	$5.89
01:10:51	BUY	No	0.44	17	$7.48
21:21:40	BUY	No	0.4335684916	29	$12.64
20:47:25	BUY	Yes	0.6199999932	23	$14.49
20:27:06	BUY	No	0.4399999675	9	$3.79
20:26:54	BUY	No	0.4399999776	11	$4.71
17:27:41	BUY	Yes	0.63	5	$3.15
15:20:13	BUY	Yes	0.65	5	$3.25
15:20:07	BUY	Yes	0.65	5	$3.25
15:19:58	BUY	Yes	0.65	5	$3.25
15:19:53	BUY	Yes	0.65	5	$3.25
15:19:40	BUY	Yes	0.65	5	$3.25
15:19:35	BUY	Yes	0.64	5	$3.20
15:19:20	BUY	Yes	0.65	5	$3.25
14:04:37	BUY	Yes	0.66	5	$3.30
14:04:25	BUY	Yes	0.66	5	$3.30
14:03:52	BUY	Yes	0.61	5	$3.05
14:03:43	BUY	Yes	0.61	5	$3.05
04:00:56	SELL	Yes	0.47	1	$0.57
00:23:19	BUY	Yes	0.6199998946	3	$2.00
20:52:55	BUY	No	0.42	38	$15.83
20:28:07	BUY	No	0.41	6	$2.44
20:06:47	BUY	No	0.4199999722	11	$4.53