Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.33. up 0.16 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.17 to 0.33. 141 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.35	26	26
0.36	58	84
0.37	20	104
0.38	82	186
0.39	20	206
0.40	20	226
0.42	50	276
0.48	50	326
0.49	50	376
0.51	100	476
0.52	5	481
0.54	5	486

Spread0.04Mid0.33

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.31	5	5
0.29	45	50
0.28	5	55
0.26	10	65
0.23	10	75
0.21	7	82
0.18	5	87
0.17	5	92
0.16	15	107
0.10	20	127
0.09	537	664
0.08	896	1,560

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.69	5	5
0.71	45	50
0.72	5	55
0.74	10	65
0.77	10	75
0.79	7	82
0.82	5	87
0.83	5	92
0.84	15	107
0.90	20	127
0.91	537	664
0.92	896	1,560

Spread0.04Mid0.67

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.65	26	26
0.64	58	84
0.63	20	104
0.62	82	186
0.61	20	206
0.60	20	226
0.58	50	276
0.52	50	326
0.51	50	376
0.49	100	476
0.48	5	481
0.46	5	486

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x8A8cbDbaC429DD5d0f3fB15109e1d5a9cE8428dB-1772485751316	Yes	2,008.9
zhaoyk	Yes	1,004.97
28763	Yes	804
Koteji	Yes	720.54
Serega-pro	Yes	405.48
ToT	Yes	360.29
0xBD65DEE01698d6E2CEc14Bcc3f7cac50824d304f-1772365350231	Yes	315.81
LLLLLXJJJJJJJ	Yes	296.91
skymilong	Yes	269.97
dwaynehindman29	Yes	211.43
0xF5e47CaF8B2E23aa9230D70758bDb2c9747F471a-1746012744983	Yes	201.13
rando12345	Yes	199.97
SweetChariot	Yes	177.14
EdgeOfChaos	Yes	169.23
0xac862A0dc15BB103B07f2AB6A4bDa381696c8d87-1770562641525	Yes	130.3
needmoney4food	Yes	126.01
rousseauuu	Yes	119.99
rudydaninja	Yes	108.14
varch01	Yes	99.99
BOBIN-765	Yes	94.2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
14:40:33	SELL	No	0.6717670209	51	$34.14
21:53:35	SELL	No	0.72	5	$3.60
18:00:56	SELL	No	0.71	54	$38.65
03:00:50	BUY	Yes	0.29	40	$11.60
02:59:15	BUY	Yes	0.28	10	$2.80
22:51:12	BUY	No	0.75	5	$3.75
04:15:03	BUY	No	0.77	5	$3.85
23:15:11	SELL	No	0.735814743	82	$60.69
18:25:42	SELL	No	0.79	0	$0.06
18:22:09	BUY	Yes	0.21	66	$13.86
17:58:15	BUY	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
11:04:27	BUY	Yes	0.2099998677	5	$1.00
05:00:34	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
01:19:15	BUY	No	0.81	7	$5.54
20:00:54	SELL	No	0.8	10	$7.99
19:58:43	BUY	Yes	0.19	5	$0.95
07:15:27	SELL	Yes	0.21	65	$13.65
18:58:40	BUY	No	0.79	40	$31.60
18:58:40	BUY	No	0.77875	40	$31.15
18:58:40	BUY	No	0.7899999938	6	$5.08
03:26:55	SELL	No	0.74	20	$14.80
03:17:22	BUY	No	0.74	17	$12.71
03:12:49	BUY	No	0.72	5	$3.60
22:18:49	BUY	No	0.72	20	$14.40
02:21:00	BUY	Yes	0.3099999364	6	$2.00