PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Koteji

0x5e103934dcb85ecf21600af1afb0fe37a3009356

Realised P&L
$-210.07
Volume
$19.5k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$428.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.4600.380$273.80$57.51
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? · No0.6090.605$119.28$0.72
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? · No0.2760.335$35.73+$6.33
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? · No0.2720.000$0.00$2.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · No0.1000.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 17:05SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?BUY0.1703738475$4.40
07-17 05:08SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?BUY0.3243243059$10.00
07-16 23:26Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?SELL0.27$13.50
07-16 23:25Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.2766941922$40.00
06-01 09:23MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2719999075$2.00
06-01 09:22MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$5.00
05-28 13:38Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?SELL0.82$30.36
05-28 13:38Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.38$6.78
05-28 13:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.58$6.04
05-28 13:18US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?SELL0.29$29.05
05-23 06:17Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.5804838604$23.60
05-23 06:16Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?SELL0.33$22.17
05-21 11:16Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.5599999776$10.00
05-21 11:15Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?SELL0.87$12.61
05-18 18:57Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?BUY0.5651415522$14.50