zhaoyk
0xcc033f89eb48f85ed62b727f0745bb651578d5c0
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $951.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $69.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.3kat 0.753Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$14.3kat 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$2.8kat 0.236Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?
- +$1.3kat 0.329Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?
- +$743.56at 0.837Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:19 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | SELL | 0.9621324605 | $929.66 |
| 09-15 01:13 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.353696152 | $360.00 |
| 09-13 11:50 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3414851928 | $493.00 |
| 09-12 14:50 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2945463363 | $200.00 |
| 09-11 11:41 | Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1982510947 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 11:40 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1089643847 | $132.05 |
| 09-11 11:39 | Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1419322394 | $172.00 |
| 09-09 00:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5694710554 | $10.0k |
| 09-09 00:45 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9632424599 | $2.5k |
| 09-09 00:44 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.7163333417 | $8.6k |
| 08-09 11:55 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8408965986 | $5.2k |
| 08-09 11:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $5.2k |
| 08-05 00:49 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7809632895 | $4.4k |
| 08-05 00:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $4.5k |
| 08-04 07:40 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship? | BUY | 0.5588564952 | $540.00 |