dwaynehindman29
0xfebe4f5dacc4a70a59d0055dbdcc019fd2ed2984
- Realised P&L
- $-228.89
- Volume
- $49.6k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $174.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$612.92at 0.270US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$609.56at 0.655Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$330.65at 0.701Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?
- +$243.82at 0.170US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$216.97at 0.521Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 15:39 | Will DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 16:46 | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 23:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 06-08 23:22 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 21:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8899998861 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 21:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 21:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 21:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 18:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.31 | $3.04 |
| 04-30 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 17:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 04-30 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |