PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8A8cbDbaC429DD5d0f3fB15109e1d5a9cE8428dB-1772485751316

0x8a8cbdbac429dd5d0f3fb15109e1d5a9ce8428db

Realised P&L
$-59.33
Volume
$12.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$985.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.4950.380$763.38$231.65
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026? · No0.7010.875$221.93+$44.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 15:32Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6299999975$65.00
09-05 07:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5099999967$55.00
09-03 20:41Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.0151417205$5.27
09-02 17:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.569999996$55.00
09-01 17:30Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.4114942529$35.80
08-31 16:41Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.2586344077$50.00
08-31 04:28Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?SELL0.8427093935$183.82
08-27 16:28Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4470316602$75.30
08-21 16:20Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4699999982$50.00
08-19 20:01Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?BUY0.4937150079$50.00
08-18 19:37Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?BUY0.427860692$50.00
08-06 18:59Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?BUY0.6823295501$220.69
08-06 18:53Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by August 31?BUY0.6537017062$54.66
08-06 04:41Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7013260772$177.88
07-19 16:26Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?BUY0.8960074222$110.00