Provenium
0xe9086c2acb87ef4b25f695c740beabbc8f83047b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.56
- Volume
- $551.30
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $279.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.405 | $84.23 | −$15.77 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.640 | $52.46 | +$2.46 |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.900 | $52.33 | +$2.33 |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? · Yes | 0.856 | 0.801 | $46.82 | −$3.18 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes | 0.634 | 0.555 | $43.76 | −$6.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.96at 0.758Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 15:17 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 11:47 | Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.5299999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 10:17 | No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8599999986 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 10:14 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.8559999944 | $50.00 |
| 07-31 10:08 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 18:02 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.6341342555 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 13:35 | Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.7579999969 | $50.00 |