nellojello
0xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7
- Realised P&L
- $11.5k
- Volume
- $503.6k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $11.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.3kat 0.440Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.649US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.577Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before September 1, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.446Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.778Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 13:10 | Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.8037275 | $160.75 |
| 11-01 06:43 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9428695652 | $216.86 |
| 10-28 12:45 | Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $2.52 |
| 10-28 07:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7898072289 | $1.3k |
| 10-28 07:32 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9710296296 | $1.3k |
| 10-28 07:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.6 | $36.00 |
| 10-27 15:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.7292608696 | $167.73 |
| 10-27 15:10 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30? | SELL | 0.5731459445 | $167.61 |
| 10-27 08:11 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 10-27 08:10 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1520408333 | $36.49 |
| 10-27 07:35 | Republican House odds dip to 7% by October 31? | BUY | 0.8305 | $99.66 |
| 10-27 07:34 | Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2132245902 | $39.02 |
| 10-27 07:34 | Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $58.00 |
| 10-26 20:12 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2? | BUY | 0.9447777778 | $127.55 |
| 10-26 09:53 | Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $42.84 |