nellojello
0xa8ae9f8f2a92cb27a73791bb816e65071ca38eb7
- Realised P&L
- $4.7k
- Volume
- $337.8k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $13.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.778Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$1.1kat 0.838Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
- +$1.0kat 0.688Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$927.22at 0.338US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?
- +$820.00at 0.180US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.5591073229 | $354.00 |
| 08-02 09:22 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.0667505 | $13.35 |
| 07-30 06:33 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 30? | BUY | 0.65 | $240.45 |
| 07-29 23:06 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.9285972592 | $400.00 |
| 07-29 23:05 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.3056194484 | $30.00 |
| 07-29 23:04 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30? | BUY | 0.6116950167 | $200.00 |
| 07-29 23:03 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0996133288 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 22:58 | Will Trump fly in original Air Force 1 again this month? | BUY | 0.9359753054 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 22:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999982 | $300.00 |
| 07-29 22:36 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0431787224 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 22:31 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $339.99 |
| 07-29 13:01 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.7132174895 | $1.1k |
| 07-29 13:01 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.9024036518 | $1.1k |
| 07-29 09:18 | Iran full airspace closure by August 15? | BUY | 0.7799999981 | $265.00 |
| 07-29 09:17 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $100.00 |