skymilong
0x9729e7797ba3845bd55b98f2260c94fc1961038a
- Realised P&L
- $-171.62
- Volume
- $58.0k
- Markets traded
- 416
- Open portfolio
- $102.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded416
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.25at 0.388US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$189.08at 0.266Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on April 9?
- +$156.69at 0.743Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 7?
- +$146.39at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on April 9?
- +$113.33at 0.729Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 02:41 | Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? | BUY | 0.6135940369 | $165.65 |
| 06-10 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10? | BUY | 0.2127780453 | $4.42 |
| 06-06 09:52 | LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | BUY | 0.85 | $6.19 |
| 06-04 15:29 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $146.00 |
| 06-04 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8399999664 | $10.00 |
| 06-03 11:05 | LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3? | SELL | 0.99 | $29.47 |
| 06-03 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.6716049335 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 3? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.81 |
| 06-03 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.83 |
| 05-29 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.69 |
| 05-28 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 29? | BUY | 0.5599999462 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 13:39 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C or higher on May 30? | BUY | 0.001497006 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 00:47 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 28? | BUY | 0.3099999757 | $6.00 |