PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

28763

0x7270ce164903ab8d66d0358ba003c78235dbadd3

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$231.1k
Markets traded
201
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded201
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07? · No0.8001.000$989.00+$197.80
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? · Yes0.6200.685$550.74+$52.26
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.3300.022$20.42−$285.82
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? · Yes0.1700.540$16.74+$11.47
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$31.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 08:24Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$95.04
04-27 08:22Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$14.08
04-27 08:20Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?SELL0.88$35.20
04-21 03:47Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?SELL0.22$139.70
04-21 03:43Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?SELL0.68$722.84
04-13 09:57Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.57$360.24
04-13 09:28Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?SELL0.45$138.15
04-13 09:27Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?SELL0.45$164.70
04-13 08:13Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?BUY0.61$648.43
04-13 08:03Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?BUY0.46$309.58
04-13 07:59Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?BUY0.6$379.20
04-13 06:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?BUY0.49$311.15
04-12 16:29Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30?SELL0.82$378.02
04-12 15:51Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?SELL0.12$6.84
04-12 15:37Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?SELL0.32$291.20