Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.59. up 0.16 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.43 to 0.59. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	30	30
0.87	62	92
0.88	58	150
0.96	5	155
0.97	24	179
0.98	100	279
0.99	115	394

Spread0.04Mid0.59

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.57	30	30
0.48	17	47
0.47	6	53
0.45	22	75
0.39	18	93
0.35	5	98
0.30	5	103
0.27	9	112
0.25	166	278
0.24	5	283
0.19	5	288
0.15	5	293

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.43	30	30
0.52	17	47
0.53	6	53
0.55	22	75
0.61	18	93
0.65	5	98
0.70	5	103
0.73	9	112
0.75	166	278
0.76	5	283
0.81	5	288
0.85	5	293

Spread0.04Mid0.41

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	30	30
0.13	62	92
0.12	58	150
0.04	5	155
0.03	24	179
0.02	100	279
0.01	115	394

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rocky42019	Yes	229.32
2B9S	Yes	57.38
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	40
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	34
0x702226B14B65B1c8d05fF51759e095f09932F64e-1770071899262	Yes	31.87
5atka	Yes	27.4
0xb82d…de16	Yes	25.45
JakeBeez	Yes	20
Slackjaw	Yes	20
likeandsubscribe	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	6.83
0xd36cfF7e0b9aA10Afd374FaD6dF21B500f2dd7A2-1769722473146	Yes	5
0x1fb258561292916Ad997f52D8c00fb75e7a4061e-1768651380890	Yes	2.08
53asdad	Yes	1.45
0xF946E1094db10Ab5c55b7dC54CA5757E0A4b347a-1774644905599	Yes	1.39
Slowroasted	No	165.78
NERA	No	155.84
derm0rx	No	151.52
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No	22.18
jxnasde	No	13.62

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:23:55	BUY	No	0.4699999706	10	$4.79
23:23:25	SELL	No	0.47	30	$14.10
08:14:00	BUY	Yes	0.43	20	$8.64
07:35:45	BUY	No	0.59	20	$11.80
01:11:31	BUY	Yes	0.42	20	$8.44
19:43:21	SELL	Yes	0.34	20	$6.80
05:20:57	BUY	No	0.62	20	$12.40
09:56:42	SELL	No	0.6	40	$24.00
05:27:21	BUY	No	0.6899999586	1	$1.00
20:17:27	SELL	Yes	0.26	1	$0.28
20:17:55	SELL	Yes	0.26	2	$0.60
19:54:44	SELL	Yes	0.27	5	$1.39
18:51:04	SELL	Yes	0.26	6	$1.49
10:39:59	BUY	No	0.734039592	14	$10.00
22:46:35	BUY	Yes	0.91	6	$5.21
19:10:36	BUY	Yes	0.91	1	$1.00
15:35:38	BUY	Yes	0.92	25	$23.41
02:44:24	BUY	Yes	0.719999856	1	$1.00
20:42:28	BUY	Yes	0.9699999981	5	$5.00
05:53:18	SELL	No	0.03	5	$0.15
09:18:37	SELL	No	0.04	3	$0.12
09:13:31	SELL	Yes	0.19	12	$2.26
20:59:05	SELL	Yes	0.34401	20	$6.88
16:48:19	SELL	No	0.79	1	$0.94
10:54:19	SELL	No	0.812806147	62	$50.78