PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

derm0rx

0xe25ed4763c2099b6bff403286e3929d2cad13f31

Realised P&L
$247.09
Volume
$9.8k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$919.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027? · No0.6400.880$137.50+$37.50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · No0.6790.925$136.19+$36.19
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? · No0.7130.905$127.01+$27.01
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · No0.7310.920$125.88+$25.87
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · No0.6600.750$113.64+$13.64
X banned in any European country by December 31? · No0.4290.880$102.49+$52.49
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027? · No0.5900.475$80.51−$19.49
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026? · No0.4810.852$61.95+$26.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November? · Yes0.2900.405$27.93+$7.93
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027? · Yes0.1920.065$6.78−$13.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$5.00
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026? · No0.1990.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 20:33Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in November?BUY0.2899999968$20.00
10-01 11:02Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.15% before 2027?BUY0.589999998$100.00
09-27 11:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?BUY0.0872448089$5.00
09-25 10:50Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?SELL0.56$86.15
09-24 18:18Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?BUY0.1917808206$20.00
09-24 11:29Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?BUY0.6499999994$100.00
09-24 11:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.83$109.20
09-24 11:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?SELL0.017$0.71
09-15 11:11Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?BUY0.64$100.00
09-13 11:19Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.2159999983$9.00
09-10 18:30Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1987628497$15.00
09-09 11:18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.52$77.61
09-09 11:16Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.046649835$4.24
09-09 11:16Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?BUY0.7312885919$100.00
09-06 11:46Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.3299999959$30.00