PolyBot

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Traders

NERA

0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99

Realised P&L
$-49.9k
Volume
$4.24M
Markets traded
476
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded476
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · No0.7460.823$2.1k+$196.74
Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · No0.6400.410$63.89$35.84
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0150.003$0.36$1.80
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? · No0.0030.000$0.00$1.43
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$3.86
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$39.99
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 18? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$8.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$6.18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16? · No0.0090.000$0.00$2.69
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$22.48
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$26.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16? · No0.0030.000$0.00$30.98
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$33.03
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$40.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 15:33Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?SELL0.999$3.4k
09-09 13:11Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7998039216$407.90
09-09 12:33Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5981666667$358.90
09-07 11:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.16$140.05
09-01 19:07Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?SELL0.8830069231$229.58
09-01 19:07Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?SELL0.9388315533$234.70
08-23 12:17Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.2609451$521.89
08-15 14:41Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.976$1.5k
08-06 10:30Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?SELL0.549046$549.05
08-04 09:58Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?SELL0.2858055256$212.07
08-02 20:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.95$5.24
07-27 20:37 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?SELL0.0038779653$25.06
07-26 21:18Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.68$647.56
07-19 18:47Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.033$66.00
06-27 12:49 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.08$357.01