PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

NERA

0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99

Realised P&L
$-50.2k
Volume
$4.22M
Markets traded
472
Open portfolio
$5.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded472
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?BUY0.95$5.24
07-27 20:37 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?SELL0.0038779653$25.06
07-26 21:18Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year?BUY0.68$647.56
07-19 18:47Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.033$66.00
06-27 12:49 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?BUY0.08$357.01
06-14 08:48Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.019$380.00
06-14 08:47Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.051$1.5k
06-12 20:08Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?SELL0.4033083268$112.47
05-29 23:23Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?BUY0.7875607477$84.27
05-26 17:01US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?SELL0.7914185989$1.5k
05-26 16:59US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?SELL0.796$91.06
05-20 10:45Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?SELL0.988$118.56
05-20 10:45Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?SELL0.9821710811$545.10
05-20 10:44Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?SELL0.981$44.14
05-18 14:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?BUY0.004$12.22