NERA
0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99
- Realised P&L
- $-50.2k
- Volume
- $4.22M
- Markets traded
- 472
- Open portfolio
- $5.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded472
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.394Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
- +$3.3kat 0.871Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
- +$2.4kat 0.060Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.266Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
- +$1.9kat 0.795Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.24 |
| 07-27 20:37 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.0038779653 | $25.06 |
| 07-26 21:18 | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.68 | $647.56 |
| 07-19 18:47 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.033 | $66.00 |
| 06-27 12:49 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $357.01 |
| 06-14 08:48 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.019 | $380.00 |
| 06-14 08:47 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.5k |
| 06-12 20:08 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | SELL | 0.4033083268 | $112.47 |
| 05-29 23:23 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.7875607477 | $84.27 |
| 05-26 17:01 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.7914185989 | $1.5k |
| 05-26 16:59 | US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | SELL | 0.796 | $91.06 |
| 05-20 10:45 | Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30? | SELL | 0.988 | $118.56 |
| 05-20 10:45 | Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.9821710811 | $545.10 |
| 05-20 10:44 | Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30? | SELL | 0.981 | $44.14 |
| 05-18 14:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.004 | $12.22 |