NERA
0x9e9ad7b5ca1c0c008b25a0fcfd7ffea62bb15d99
- Realised P&L
- $-49.9k
- Volume
- $4.24M
- Markets traded
- 476
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded476
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.1kat 0.394Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?
- +$3.3kat 0.871Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2024?
- +$2.4kat 0.060Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.266Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
- +$1.9kat 0.795Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 15:33 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.4k |
| 09-09 13:11 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7998039216 | $407.90 |
| 09-09 12:33 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5981666667 | $358.90 |
| 09-07 11:23 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.16 | $140.05 |
| 09-01 19:07 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | SELL | 0.8830069231 | $229.58 |
| 09-01 19:07 | Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? | SELL | 0.9388315533 | $234.70 |
| 08-23 12:17 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.2609451 | $521.89 |
| 08-15 14:41 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $1.5k |
| 08-06 10:30 | Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | SELL | 0.549046 | $549.05 |
| 08-04 09:58 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | SELL | 0.2858055256 | $212.07 |
| 08-02 20:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.24 |
| 07-27 20:37 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.0038779653 | $25.06 |
| 07-26 21:18 | Will Ali Khamenei be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | BUY | 0.68 | $647.56 |
| 07-19 18:47 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.033 | $66.00 |
| 06-27 12:49 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $357.01 |