0xF946E1094db10Ab5c55b7dC54CA5757E0A4b347a-1774644905599
0xf946e1094db10ab5c55b7dc54ca5757e0a4b347a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.20
- Volume
- $35.33
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $8.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration23.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · No | 0.930 | 0.958 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? · Yes | 0.830 | 1.000 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · No | 0.950 | 1.000 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.918 | 0.961 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? · No | 0.979 | 1.000 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.590 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.380 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.075 | $0.80 | −$1.20 |
| Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No | 0.932 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-02 02:44 | Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:43 | World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:42 | Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:41 | Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 05-02 02:40 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:39 | Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? | BUY | 0.1029999168 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:36 | Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? | BUY | 0.8299992198 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:34 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9179995281 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.931999329 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:32 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 05-02 02:31 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 22:26 | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |