0xb82d5ebdef94f0ba297c34dc20f0fd885b56de16
- Realised P&L
- $-37.95
- Volume
- $146.24
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $24.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.590 | $15.01 | −$8.40 |
| Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.330 | $9.76 | −$13.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.999Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$-4.19at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$-30.47at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 15:35 | Will Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $23.41 |
| 05-04 15:35 | Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999963 | $23.41 |
| 04-27 03:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.01 |
| 04-26 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999899 | $14.56 |
| 04-25 17:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $3.62 |
| 04-25 07:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999973 | $3.56 |