0x1fb258561292916Ad997f52D8c00fb75e7a4061e-1768651380890
0x1fb258561292916ad997f52d8c00fb75e7a4061e
- Realised P&L
- $5.18
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 124
- Open portfolio
- $46.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded124
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.65at 0.062U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
- +$13.29at 0.070Will Audias Flores-Silva be arrested in 2026?
- +$9.10at 0.183Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.09at 0.141Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.55at 0.220Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 22:36 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: Other | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:32 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | BUY | 0.0089999999 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:28 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.0099431818 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:28 | Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.177999985 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:28 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:27 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.0919999934 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:27 | Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:27 | Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.0689999982 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:25 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 22:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 23:20 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $400 end of July? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |