JakeBeez
0x25b910cf968a626438316b6ab7275ea6a5563058
- Realised P&L
- $-518.07
- Volume
- $161.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,605
- Open portfolio
- $527.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,605
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.00at 0.117Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?
- +$51.89at 0.019Will Texas make the College Football Playoff?
- +$45.00at 0.100Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?
- +$44.00at 0.120Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
- +$43.80at 0.340Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 12:11 | Will Seattle Seahawks finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most special teams and defensive touchdowns? | BUY | 0.139 | $2.78 |
| 10-09 19:16 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-04 House election by 65%-70%? | BUY | 0.175 | $3.50 |
| 02-18 23:38 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 02-17 00:09 | Will David Copperfield be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.75 |
| 02-13 22:42 | No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.202 | $2.99 |
| 01-18 23:48 | Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 01-18 20:53 | Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 01-02 23:59 | Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $22.47 |
| 01-02 16:59 | Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.23 |
| 01-02 13:11 | Will Robert Downey Jr. be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 01-01 21:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 01-01 21:06 | Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $14.18 |
| 01-01 14:57 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 12-20 14:52 | Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 12-16 23:30 | Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post? | SELL | 0.957 | $19.14 |