PolyBot

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Will Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-16
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.656 over the period, from 0.660. Range 0.004 to 0.660. 142 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00855
0.0099095
0.01761156
0.01871227
0.019500727
0.74080807
0.95129836
0.95249885
0.9671,0001,885
0.9742,5004,385
0.9803,0007,385
0.990107,395

Spread0.007Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001211211

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999211211

Spread0.007Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99255
0.9919095
0.98361156
0.98271227
0.981500727
0.26080807
0.04929836
0.04849885
0.0331,0001,885
0.0262,5004,385
0.0203,0007,385
0.010107,395

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes2,016.96
GuyFromTinderYes188
Tanjiro.KamadoYes103
himkenYes71.21
LovelyPandaYes48.66
lissartterYes27.34
0x6b9a…dc4bYes20
obscure1Yes20
.MentheYes20
bechamelYes20
bjproloYes9.99
ghorrockYes5.32
richarddYes1.55
BeefSlayerNo1,103.28
rabbit007No516.33
tradetosurvive1No275
2B9SNo220
BetterFishNo162.02
pootytherewardfarmerNo96.64
chessplayerNo51.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:22:21SELLNo0.99110$9.91
07:01:25SELLYes0.00120$0.02
19:33:01BUYNo0.991$1.07
19:32:53BUYNo0.995$5.00
19:32:53SELLYes0.0150$0.50
19:32:53BUYNo0.993$2.49
19:32:52BUYNo0.97354$343.65
13:55:18BUYNo0.96155$149.27
13:10:01BUYNo0.95999994025$5.14
13:10:01BUYYes0.138$3.81
12:55:48BUYNo0.94999982241$1.07
12:55:40BUYYes0.1211$21.09
12:09:04BUYNo0.9436$33.84
11:55:30BUYYes0.1155$15.53
09:00:58BUYNo0.96999980961$1.07
09:00:49BUYYes0.1603$60.30
07:13:40BUYNo0.973$3.37
07:13:39BUYYes0.125$2.50
03:27:03BUYNo0.961$1.16
03:27:02BUYNo0.9650$48.00
23:10:29SELLNo0.9220$18.40
21:57:59BUYNo0.96999998712$1.50
21:57:56BUYYes0.150$5.00
21:29:57BUYYes0.09103$9.27
21:12:54BUYYes0.089999999522$1.97