Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.74. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.76. Range 0.70 to 0.76. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	422	422
0.76	220	642
0.77	20	662
0.78	21	683
0.85	90	773
0.86	8	781
0.95	24	805
0.96	240	1,045
0.98	14	1,059
0.99	317	1,376

Spread0.01Mid0.74

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	249	249
0.73	140	389
0.72	48	437
0.69	24	461
0.36	5	466
0.04	24	490
0.03	40	530
0.01	26	556

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	249	249
0.27	140	389
0.28	48	437
0.31	24	461
0.64	5	466
0.96	24	490
0.97	40	530
0.99	26	556

Spread0.01Mid0.26

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	422	422
0.24	220	642
0.23	20	662
0.22	21	683
0.15	90	773
0.14	8	781
0.05	24	805
0.04	240	1,045
0.02	14	1,059
0.01	317	1,376

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	840.31
2B9S	Yes	252.92
0x08DDed0f8397672D939EEC3f8a0125777d0F2555-1776182628616	Yes	156.25
AJSV	Yes	143.46
chaosj88	Yes	126.92
0x37525cB351f53968Cb1177C1059C09bC25E69d56-1761723227494	Yes	93.62
PolyArbi	Yes	91.99
0xTengri	Yes	52
0x7a96C5947857569b18e1ba3B82F751FBB0657eD8-1781604807404	Yes	40.65
pppnn	Yes	26.75
memorymaker2049	Yes	26.35
runes-leo	Yes	20
sand1	Yes	20
0xD35694160B7Bc6F734aB2e95072686ACEb1A963d-1770830259364	Yes	19.67
HerrieDavis	Yes	19.49
claudemole	Yes	13.32
0x45e606f7849330AdAd37875f835FBdD1B7868FCa-1775496679263	Yes	5.61
AMAM13	Yes	4.42
superaiapi	Yes	2.05
pinner	Yes	2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:07:55	BUY	Yes	0.7599999969	13	$9.76
18:06:37	BUY	Yes	0.7599999848	13	$10.00
03:43:51	BUY	No	0.25	20	$5.00
00:49:22	BUY	Yes	0.76	20	$15.20
00:48:34	BUY	Yes	0.72	100	$72.00
22:08:58	BUY	No	0.2899999897	18	$5.33
22:08:57	BUY	No	0.28	2	$0.43
22:08:57	BUY	No	0.28	20	$5.60
22:08:57	BUY	No	0.28	100	$28.00
18:20:10	SELL	Yes	0.69	1	$0.93
12:20:21	SELL	Yes	0.75	1	$1.01
07:12:06	SELL	Yes	0.75	1	$1.01
15:28:56	SELL	No	0.24	20	$4.80
15:13:23	BUY	Yes	0.74	34	$25.23
14:41:44	BUY	Yes	0.74	1	$1.00
22:21:32	SELL	Yes	0.73	37	$26.75
14:12:11	BUY	Yes	0.74	25	$18.50
05:09:18	BUY	No	0.27	5	$1.35
05:09:18	BUY	No	0.27	13	$3.57
14:39:17	SELL	Yes	0.74	9	$6.73
14:39:00	SELL	Yes	0.74	9	$6.73
01:10:47	SELL	Yes	0.75	40	$30.00
13:23:11	SELL	Yes	0.75	4	$2.66
05:07:18	BUY	Yes	0.76	20	$15.20
20:51:36	BUY	Yes	0.7599999088	1	$1.00