0x7a96C5947857569b18e1ba3B82F751FBB0657eD8-1781604807404
0x7a96c5947857569b18e1ba3b82f751fbb0657ed8
- Realised P&L
- $0.25
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $34.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.732 | 0.745 | $30.29 | +$0.53 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by October 31? · No | 0.490 | 0.445 | $4.54 | −$0.46 |
| Azerbaijan leading at halftime? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Spread: FC Red Bull Salzburg (-2.5) · Mjällby AIF | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| RCD Mallorca vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.83 |
| Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) · AJ Auxerre | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will FC Argeș Pitești win on 2026-08-08? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Durham LFC vs. Newcastle United WFC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-25? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-26? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.66at 0.752Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$3.53at 0.726Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
- +$3.06at 0.757Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?
- +$2.27at 0.726Netherlands vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 2.5
- +$2.25at 0.730Spread: RB Leipzig (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 18:07 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999969 | $9.76 |
| 10-11 18:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.63 | $6.68 |
| 10-11 18:07 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.84 |
| 10-11 18:06 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 18:01 | RCD Mallorca vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.8 | $9.00 |
| 10-11 16:53 | Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $4.00 |
| 10-11 16:51 | Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 16:49 | Liverpool FC leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.10 |
| 10-11 15:27 | Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7099999503 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 14:44 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $3.00 |
| 10-11 14:43 | Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5969999558 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 14:34 | AC Monza leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.01 |
| 10-11 05:15 | AC Monza leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 05:10 | Liverpool FC leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 10-10 19:23 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.7899999802 | $4.00 |