runes-leo
0x13e1f69df75b78372182ebe64bd8dcea1c700805
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $123.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,253
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,253
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$378.27at 0.558Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$310.39at 0.065Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$150.00at 0.500Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$144.23at 0.038Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
- +$143.13at 0.083Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 09:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $39.60 |
| 09-16 18:29 | XRP Up or Down - September 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $27.38 |
| 09-14 06:49 | Dogecoin Up or Down - September 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-12 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-12 21:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9273847723 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 07:59 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 05:14 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 23:39 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 17:34 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 15:59 | XRP Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9325920166 | $17.99 |
| 09-11 15:59 | XRP Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 10:59 | BNB Up or Down - September 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 10:39 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $7.02 |
| 09-11 08:44 | Solana Up or Down - September 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |