0xTengri
0x05ac64dcf09298cb35ac643183e432b21f276d71
- Realised P&L
- $451.13
- Volume
- $609.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,045
- Open portfolio
- $311.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,045
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.545 | $272.50 | −$126.89 |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.683 | 0.745 | $38.74 | +$3.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.667Akita Northern Happinets vs. Koshigaya Alphas
- +$512.09at 0.789Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 17?
- +$233.76at 0.909Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 15?
- +$163.30at 0.859Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026?
- +$162.00at 0.595Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 21:00 | Grok (Web) Outage by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-30 20:58 | Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $339.84 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0740712378 | $20.80 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.076 | $21.89 |
| 09-23 18:20 | Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026? | BUY | 0.9794858732 | $419.13 |
| 09-22 20:39 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.677 | $18.27 |
| 09-22 20:39 | Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6785978477 | $92.07 |
| 09-22 20:37 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.6828653846 | $35.51 |
| 09-22 20:36 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $391.95 |
| 09-22 20:36 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $596.53 |
| 09-22 20:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $288.87 |
| 09-22 20:34 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.860433988 | $549.40 |
| 09-22 20:14 | Grok (Web) Outage by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $43.92 |
| 09-22 20:13 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.79878 | $399.39 |
| 09-22 20:12 | Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |