PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xTengri

0x05ac64dcf09298cb35ac643183e432b21f276d71

Realised P&L
$227.21
Volume
$600.1k
Markets traded
2,020
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,020
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? · Yes0.7690.695$270.33$28.84
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.8600.805$260.56$17.96
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 35% or higher? · Yes0.9800.966$241.38$3.62
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.9000.905$226.25+$1.25
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · No0.8600.905$226.25+$11.25
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.8080.885$221.68+$19.29
Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.7300.725$181.25$1.25
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · Yes0.8990.913$178.08+$2.87
Will Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on August 31? · Yes0.7590.820$164.00+$12.15
Grok (Web) Outage by August 31, 2026? · No0.8300.780$141.41$9.06
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.6650.715$135.38+$9.40
Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.7100.520$110.65$40.43
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9400.940$99.28+$0.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? · No0.6990.935$96.89+$24.50
Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in August? · No0.9700.950$95.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:26Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0653684211$7.45
08-03 03:25Will Alibaba be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.32$6.40
08-03 03:25Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?SELL0.922577541$107.38
08-02 15:54Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.75$104.27
08-02 13:26Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.719$59.45
08-02 12:40Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.7043097617$91.63
08-02 12:37Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?BUY0.56$112.00
08-02 12:34Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of August 2026?BUY0.8281568947$61.02
08-02 12:30Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.73$182.50
08-02 12:20Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.69$46.22
08-02 12:19Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.6575713418$54.15
08-02 12:19Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.64$25.60
08-02 10:56Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31?BUY0.73$18.25
08-02 10:56Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31?BUY0.72$14.40
08-02 10:56Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 40 by August 31?BUY0.63$6.30