Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.085. down 0.060 over the period, from 0.145. Range 0.022 to 0.155. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.098	5	5
0.099	49	54
0.107	5	59
0.108	108	167
0.109	30	197
0.110	29	226
0.117	80	306
0.201	95	401
0.202	20	421
0.261	25	446
0.262	50	496
0.284	40	536

Spread0.027Mid0.084

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.071	127	127
0.070	48	175
0.064	23	197
0.034	241	438
0.025	5,120	5,558
0.010	205	5,763
0.004	88	5,851
0.003	313	6,165
0.002	270	6,435
0.001	738	7,173

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.929	127	127
0.930	48	175
0.936	23	197
0.966	241	438
0.975	5,120	5,558
0.990	205	5,763
0.996	88	5,851
0.997	313	6,165
0.998	270	6,435
0.999	738	7,173

Spread0.027Mid0.915

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.902	5	5
0.901	49	54
0.893	5	59
0.892	108	167
0.891	30	197
0.890	29	226
0.883	80	306
0.799	95	401
0.798	20	421
0.739	25	446
0.738	50	496
0.716	40	536

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
1in1000	Yes	999.99
molodoyy	Yes	306.7
Dr.PNL	Yes	277.3
df4d8fa4sdf5	Yes	251.65
AiBird	Yes	193.4
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	142.33
LornaPredicts	Yes	123.61
rttbrtbtbtbbt	Yes	123
lightsout912	Yes	110.71
vtx	Yes	100
tradetosurvive1	Yes	62.37
sirjhow01	Yes	50
Sta123123cxz	Yes	40.57
procrypter	Yes	40
0x4629…f3b1	Yes	30
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	20.1
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	20.01
dgfd76	Yes	16.21
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	15
congmqian-gendan	Yes	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:55:40	BUY	No	0.9339998356	5	$5.00
17:21:15	SELL	No	0.931	8	$7.51
08:17:08	SELL	No	0.8866666667	30	$26.60
08:16:51	SELL	No	0.887	20	$17.74
08:14:38	BUY	Yes	0.1036	60	$6.22
08:14:38	BUY	Yes	0.0895121754	223	$19.96
05:17:25	BUY	No	0.9399999893	2	$1.76
04:42:07	BUY	No	0.938999995	1	$1.12
08:58:10	BUY	Yes	0.032	53	$1.70
01:09:54	BUY	No	0.88	24	$21.12
01:09:51	BUY	No	0.88	65	$57.20
01:09:49	BUY	No	0.88	13	$11.26
01:09:49	BUY	No	0.88	10	$8.80
19:14:27	BUY	No	0.88	7	$6.34
17:20:45	BUY	No	0.88	10	$8.80
16:30:10	SELL	Yes	0.13	6	$0.81
15:25:31	BUY	No	0.88	7	$5.90
15:25:31	BUY	No	0.88	11	$9.68
15:25:31	BUY	No	0.88	14	$11.88
15:24:54	BUY	No	0.88	8	$7.04
15:23:54	BUY	No	0.88	20	$17.60
15:23:51	BUY	No	0.85	10	$8.50
08:50:40	SELL	No	0.84	1	$1.18
01:42:36	SELL	Yes	0.08	59	$4.75
01:41:03	SELL	Yes	0.09	80	$7.20