Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.40. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.42. Range 0.14 to 0.47. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.42	80	80
0.43	594	674
0.44	755	1,429
0.46	30	1,459
0.48	30	1,489
0.49	60	1,550
0.51	14	1,564
0.72	150	1,714
0.73	252	1,965
0.74	505	2,470
0.77	5	2,476
0.79	195	2,671

Spread0.04Mid0.40

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.38	120	120
0.37	593	713
0.36	200	913
0.26	30	943
0.23	26	969
0.22	87	1,056
0.20	30	1,086
0.12	90	1,176
0.11	150	1,326
0.10	500	1,826
0.04	138	1,963
0.03	117	2,080

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.62	120	120
0.63	593	713
0.64	200	913
0.74	30	943
0.77	26	969
0.78	87	1,056
0.80	30	1,086
0.88	90	1,176
0.89	150	1,326
0.90	500	1,826
0.96	138	1,963
0.97	117	2,080

Spread0.04Mid0.60

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.58	80	80
0.57	594	674
0.56	755	1,429
0.54	30	1,459
0.52	30	1,489
0.51	60	1,550
0.49	14	1,564
0.28	150	1,714
0.27	252	1,965
0.26	505	2,470
0.23	5	2,476
0.21	195	2,671

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
molodoyy	Yes	392.7
AJSV	Yes	41.86
x1099	Yes	30
tradetosurvive1	Yes	24
Sta123123cxz	Yes	20
LornaPredicts	Yes	20
0xaF9eeC236FAEA7139DB10DC5CDdFFEB5D44911B3-1775257317863	Yes	20
dgfd76	Yes	16.21
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	8
0xa5ef…2966	No	383.9
Bodytobody	No	49
0x4629…f3b1	No	30
seeklmop	No	30
SPLPB	No	26
wfsxfwetrdsf	No	20
bechamel	No	20
TeenagePanda	No	10.1
Mojito9	No	4.54

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
16:47:54	SELL	Yes	0.38	6	$2.28
16:47:21	SELL	Yes	0.39	6	$2.34
16:47:17	BUY	No	0.6	10	$6.00
16:47:17	BUY	No	0.6	10	$6.00
16:47:12	BUY	No	0.6	12	$7.20
16:47:09	BUY	No	0.6	10	$6.00
16:44:03	BUY	No	0.6	10	$6.00
16:44:03	BUY	No	0.6	20	$12.00
12:51:47	SELL	No	0.51495	20	$10.30
12:50:41	SELL	No	0.73	10	$7.30
12:50:39	BUY	No	0.78	10	$7.80
12:50:38	SELL	No	0.7704347826	23	$17.72
12:50:36	SELL	No	0.78	40	$31.20
12:50:35	BUY	Yes	0.2079518072	332	$69.04
10:44:33	SELL	Yes	0.21	12	$2.52
10:44:32	SELL	Yes	0.218	20	$4.36
10:44:30	SELL	Yes	0.23	12	$2.76
10:44:29	SELL	Yes	0.23	20	$4.60
10:44:27	BUY	No	0.77	32	$24.64
10:44:23	BUY	No	0.77	40	$30.80
12:23:47	BUY	No	0.87	5	$4.35
12:23:26	BUY	No	0.87	4	$3.55
12:23:09	BUY	No	0.87	11	$9.50
22:39:20	BUY	Yes	0.3099999139	6	$1.80
17:25:21	BUY	Yes	0.26	10	$2.60