PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rttbrtbtbtbbt

0xbda53af9c6590c2a96634749844c8b471ad8ee3a

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$29.8k
Markets traded
103
Open portfolio
$284.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded103
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love (Olivia Rodrigo) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.0000.365$75.19+$75.19
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan? · Yes0.2601.000$65.79+$48.68
Will Diogo Dalot attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? · No0.4901.000$56.00+$28.56
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 27, 2026? · Yes0.5501.000$41.00+$18.45
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes0.2401.000$39.41+$29.95
Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.2100.056$6.89−$18.94
Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$33.63
Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30? · No0.4820.000$0.00−$62.67
Will the next Grok model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5540.000$0.00−$319.51
Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? · No0.1600.000$0.00−$172.00
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$120.00
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$34.71
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June? · No0.5130.000$0.00−$66.68
Will Trump praise Allah by June 30? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$79.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-24 07:36Over $30M committed to the RipCars public sale?SELL0.3985291734$9.84
07-21 19:40Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?SELL0.6716666667$20.15
07-21 07:22Will Claude go down 9-11 times in July?SELL0.65$91.65
07-16 14:14Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $80k at auction?SELL0.91$22.53
07-16 14:14Will “The Jensen Jacket: Jensen Huang's Tom Ford Leather Jacket” sell for at least $90k at auction?SELL0.653$18.34
07-11 12:21Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?SELL0.973$77.84
06-21 18:22Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.998$399.20