PolyBot

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Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-01
Resolves by
https://www.githubstatus.com/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. down 0.14 over the period, from 0.38. Range 0.21 to 0.41. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.24786786
0.252401,026
0.26201,046
0.27101,056
0.31801,136
0.321291,265
0.695501,815
0.703002,115
0.823052,420
0.835002,920
0.85302,950
0.878173,767

Spread0.01Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.23563563
0.22394956
0.2120976
0.10411,017
0.0391,026
0.02331,059
0.01601,120

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.77563563
0.78394956
0.7920976
0.90411,017
0.9791,026
0.98331,059
0.99601,120

Spread0.01Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.76786786
0.752401,026
0.74201,046
0.73101,056
0.69801,136
0.681291,265
0.315501,815
0.303002,115
0.183052,420
0.175002,920
0.15302,950
0.138173,767

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ramseyxiangYes300
estoiccYes141.86
LornaPredictsYes118.52
GuyFromTinderYes89.01
0xf453…a674Yes69.93
0x3a9d…f332Yes50
a5533Yes50
pootytherewardfarmerYes36.47
pppnnYes34.39
winexecutescaleYes32
MajasYes30.57
AJSVYes22.46
0xe01069845E5f21c1cd1B438087f5badB24F65147-1757127484637Yes10
BodytobodyYes2.75
0xa5ef…2966No411.95
Dr.PNLNo188.64
Maximus374No161.54
tradetosurvive1No132.13
HyphenFroxNo48.57
QUUNNo20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:02:52SELLYes0.27105$28.34
14:41:00SELLYes0.2533$8.25
14:31:39SELLYes0.2633$8.58
13:41:52SELLYes0.2719$5.13
13:31:49SELLYes0.2834$9.52
13:23:55SELLYes0.2934$9.86
13:23:37SELLYes0.3539$13.65
11:15:12SELLYes0.2293$20.46
11:12:39SELLYes0.2375$17.25
11:10:03SELLYes0.2484$20.16
11:00:52SELLYes0.3149$15.19
11:00:34BUYNo0.651$0.65
10:48:10SELLYes0.35299$104.65
10:47:52SELLYes0.38117$44.46
10:01:46SELLYes0.236$1.38
10:01:43SELLYes0.2323$5.29
10:01:40SELLYes0.2323$5.29
10:01:39SELLYes0.2323$5.29
09:55:54SELLNo0.7827$21.06
09:55:45BUYYes0.22995$218.89
05:04:13SELLYes0.2150$10.50
16:49:30BUYYes0.2223$5.06
16:15:01BUYYes0.2225$5.50
16:07:12BUYYes0.2225$5.50
12:56:33SELLYes0.2747$12.69