PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

HyphenFrox

0x051833122a2739cecb7257ce790bef168a2e5da2

Realised P&L
$-2.9k
Volume
$155.7k
Markets traded
922
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded922
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · Yes0.3400.735$55.64+$29.90
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.3500.981$49.64+$31.93
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.3560.620$47.92+$20.37
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours? · No0.5400.830$40.32+$14.09
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30? · No0.5800.875$39.48+$13.31
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No0.3700.805$38.51+$20.81
Will Russia capture Shevchenko by October 31? · No0.4440.655$38.16+$12.29
Will Brendan Blomeley win the next Clarence mayoral election? · Yes0.5300.720$35.58+$9.39
Will Zenaide Maia win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? · Yes0.4200.570$34.77+$9.15
Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? · No0.4500.600$34.28+$8.57
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.5600.750$33.50+$8.49
Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election? · Yes0.5600.715$33.29+$7.22
Will Kash Heed win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? · No0.5810.720$32.44+$6.27
Will Delegado Éder Mauro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? · Yes0.5130.635$31.96+$6.11
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? · No0.4880.595$31.53+$5.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 20:58Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.6899999734$7.77
09-24 20:44Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%?BUY0.6899999986$9.58
09-24 20:44Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?BUY0.6199999965$24.73
09-24 20:44Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?BUY0.5799999508$4.72
09-23 01:12Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?BUY0.7899999897$11.47
09-23 01:10Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?BUY0.4599999669$5.00
09-23 00:52Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?SELL0.29$16.94
09-22 23:09Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?BUY0.46$11.50
09-22 23:04Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30?SELL0.22$10.21
09-22 22:07Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?BUY0.35$17.71
09-22 22:06Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?BUY0.3699999987$17.70
09-22 22:00Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?SELL0.1985123632$4.90
09-22 21:28Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.3499999914$6.08
09-22 21:28Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections?BUY0.5999999895$11.39
09-22 03:45SSI public model released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.819999986$9.35