HyphenFrox
0x051833122a2739cecb7257ce790bef168a2e5da2
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $155.7k
- Markets traded
- 922
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded922
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$362.99at 0.632Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?
- +$204.09at 0.630U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?
- +$194.63at 0.703Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
- +$156.09at 0.745Will the Government shutdown end by November 7?
- +$125.86at 0.704US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:58 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.6899999734 | $7.77 |
| 09-24 20:44 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-02 House election by 15%-20%? | BUY | 0.6899999986 | $9.58 |
| 09-24 20:44 | Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | BUY | 0.6199999965 | $24.73 |
| 09-24 20:44 | Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election? | BUY | 0.5799999508 | $4.72 |
| 09-23 01:12 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? | BUY | 0.7899999897 | $11.47 |
| 09-23 01:10 | Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 00:52 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat? | SELL | 0.29 | $16.94 |
| 09-22 23:09 | Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in September 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $11.50 |
| 09-22 23:04 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.21 |
| 09-22 22:07 | Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.71 |
| 09-22 22:06 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.3699999987 | $17.70 |
| 09-22 22:00 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting? | SELL | 0.1985123632 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 21:28 | Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? | BUY | 0.3499999914 | $6.08 |
| 09-22 21:28 | Will Albert Aníbal Arenas Yabar win the next Cusco mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.5999999895 | $11.39 |
| 09-22 03:45 | SSI public model released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.819999986 | $9.35 |