PolyBot

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Traders

0xe01069845E5f21c1cd1B438087f5badB24F65147-1757127484637

0xe01069845e5f21c1cd1b438087f5badb24f65147

Realised P&L
$21.8k
Volume
$4.20M
Markets traded
22,373
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded22,373
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage · Team Nemesis0.6100.935$30.18+$10.49
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - European Pro League Group A · Dawn Bulls0.6150.515$20.09$3.89
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Dawn Bulls - Game 1 Winner · Dawn Bulls0.5250.515$19.05$0.38
Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? · No0.8700.830$16.60$0.80
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs EHISTO BASE (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Group C · ShindeN0.7200.740$14.80+$0.40
Counter-Strike: Esport BERG vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs · OLDBOYS-0.8000.795$13.99$0.09
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B · Inner Circle Esports0.5000.520$10.40+$0.40
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes? · Yes0.9340.995$9.95+$0.61
Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 17? · No0.5101.000$9.68+$4.74
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8710.945$9.45+$0.73
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.6960.942$9.42+$2.46
Will Elon tweet 960-999 times in September 2026? · No0.8850.936$9.37+$0.52
Will Volker Bajus win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · No0.6600.926$9.26+$2.66
Dota 2: Daxak Club vs Stray Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs · Daxak Club0.6260.625$9.22$0.01
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · No0.6800.920$9.20+$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 10:22Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.957$6.70
07-14 10:22Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.9629998064$4.91
07-14 10:20Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?SELL0.92$6.44
07-14 10:20Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?BUY0.94$4.70
07-14 10:19Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$3.60
07-14 10:19Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.41$2.05
07-14 10:19Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?SELL0.985$5.91
07-14 10:19Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.986$4.93
07-14 10:19Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.698$6.98
07-14 10:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.974$4.87
07-14 10:18Iran full airspace closure by July 15?SELL0.964$4.82
07-14 10:18Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.89$4.45
07-14 10:18Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsSELL0.56$4.48
07-14 10:18Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?SELL0.871$4.36
07-14 10:18Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.86$4.30