0xf453ae1bf6baec092d7e52f9630aada0a039a674
0xf453ae1bf6baec092d7e52f9630aada0a039a674
- Realised P&L
- $258.41
- Volume
- $69.7k
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $714.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$246.28at 0.262Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$195.74at 0.442Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
- +$174.40at 0.803Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 0 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?
- +$173.19at 0.533Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$161.09at 0.680Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 11:16 | US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | SELL | 0.093 | $0.93 |
| 09-23 11:15 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $53.75 |
| 09-23 11:15 | Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | SELL | 0.49 | $14.39 |
| 09-23 09:21 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999997 | $53.75 |
| 09-23 02:00 | Will Fufuca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 09-23 01:50 | Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland? | SELL | 0.7 | $5.05 |
| 09-23 01:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $17.96 |
| 09-23 01:49 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $9.06 |
| 09-23 01:49 | Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $75.15 |
| 09-22 19:30 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 09-22 19:29 | Will Eva Bender win the next Hannover Region presidential election? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.55 |
| 09-22 19:29 | Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.41 |
| 09-22 19:28 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | SELL | 0.96 | $46.29 |
| 09-22 19:25 | Will PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.473 | $9.47 |
| 09-22 07:29 | Will Russia enter Dobropillia by September 30? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.88 |