Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.81. up 0.31 over the period, from 0.49. Range 0.49 to 0.81. 12 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.81	1,088	1,088
0.82	241	1,329
0.83	301	1,630
0.84	207	1,837
0.85	6	1,843
0.87	300	2,143
0.89	73	2,216
0.90	21	2,237
0.92	6	2,243
0.93	148	2,390
0.94	167	2,557
0.95	100	2,657

Spread0.01Mid0.81

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	1,011	1,011
0.79	260	1,271
0.78	20	1,291
0.75	21	1,312
0.74	20	1,332
0.73	330	1,662
0.62	13	1,675
0.61	50	1,725
0.60	120	1,845
0.51	40	1,885
0.02	42	1,927
0.01	428	2,355

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	1,011	1,011
0.21	260	1,271
0.22	20	1,291
0.25	21	1,312
0.26	20	1,332
0.27	330	1,662
0.38	13	1,675
0.39	50	1,725
0.40	120	1,845
0.49	40	1,885
0.98	42	1,927
0.99	428	2,355

Spread0.01Mid0.20

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.19	1,088	1,088
0.18	241	1,329
0.17	301	1,630
0.16	207	1,837
0.15	6	1,843
0.13	300	2,143
0.11	73	2,216
0.10	21	2,237
0.08	6	2,243
0.07	148	2,390
0.06	167	2,557
0.05	100	2,657

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
FrogCharts	Yes	408.14
Computerdude111	Yes	124.99
KimchiCapital	Yes	99.99
AiBird	Yes	60.01
Kronk1	Yes	60
BAO95889	Yes	15
title1	No	200
chessplayer	No	125
AJSV	No	85.72
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	No	50
lissartter	No	45.41
athenos	No	40
0x8b1c…d8a9	No	40
galhammerman	No	40
0x4629…f3b1	No	30
xukongjieli0	No	20.85
cactus-test	No	20
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	No	20
obscure1	No	20
UpTheStairs	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
07:57:14	BUY	Yes	0.81	125	$101.24
07:53:17	BUY	No	0.2	20	$4.00
07:53:17	BUY	No	0.2	200	$40.00
05:15:17	SELL	Yes	0.78	20	$15.60
05:13:17	SELL	Yes	0.8	10	$8.00
05:11:14	SELL	Yes	0.81	19	$15.51
05:10:24	SELL	Yes	0.8490454545	220	$186.79
05:10:24	BUY	No	0.17	20	$3.40
05:05:48	SELL	No	0.11	20	$2.20
05:05:27	SELL	No	0.11	100	$11.00
05:03:48	BUY	Yes	0.7518471476	873	$656.46
05:03:48	BUY	Yes	0.77	21	$16.05
05:03:48	BUY	Yes	0.79	30	$23.70
03:47:54	BUY	Yes	0.77	15	$11.55
03:41:26	SELL	No	0.23	20	$4.60
03:41:26	BUY	Yes	0.77	20	$15.40
03:41:26	BUY	Yes	0.77	20	$15.40
03:40:51	SELL	No	0.23	20	$4.60
02:54:30	SELL	No	0.26	20	$5.20
02:53:00	BUY	Yes	0.72	120	$86.40
02:34:32	BUY	Yes	0.6933333333	60	$41.60
02:19:30	BUY	Yes	0.64	100	$63.99
02:14:24	BUY	No	0.28	25	$7.00
02:14:17	BUY	Yes	0.62	20	$12.40
02:12:35	BUY	Yes	0.41	20	$8.20