xukongjieli0
0xdaa1599b7d2d95c99e4c6a132d4bdc75b9282fdb
- Realised P&L
- $-137.91
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $31.68
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2 · No | 0.465 | 0.407 | $8.18 | −$1.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29? · No | 0.450 | 0.435 | $7.98 | −$0.28 |
| Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week? · Yes | 0.573 | 0.275 | $6.05 | −$6.56 |
| Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes | 0.389 | 0.908 | $4.53 | +$2.59 |
| Will “A Song To Sing” by Miranda Lambert and Chris Stapleton win Musical Event of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No | 0.570 | 0.730 | $2.19 | +$0.48 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes | 0.537 | 0.581 | $0.93 | +$0.07 |
| Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? · No | 0.540 | 0.535 | $0.89 | −$0.01 |
| Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? · Yes | 0.268 | 0.062 | $0.62 | −$2.06 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? · No | 0.330 | 0.318 | $0.32 | −$0.01 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.34at 0.060Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?
- +$4.60at 0.090Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026?
- +$2.80at 0.360Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?
- +$2.64at 0.371Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings
- +$1.65at 0.420Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 20:06 | Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3563532042 | $7.17 |
| 09-27 16:45 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August? | SELL | 0.118 | $0.92 |
| 09-27 09:39 | Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | SELL | 0.531 | $10.79 |
| 09-27 08:06 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.43 |
| 09-27 08:05 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.666 | $13.70 |
| 09-26 22:55 | Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,153,000 and $1,169,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.243 | $4.91 |
| 09-25 22:30 | Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? | SELL | 0.284 | $3.96 |
| 09-24 15:45 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.2757048872 | $5.87 |
| 09-24 08:33 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 14:52 | Republican House odds hit 12% by October 31? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.20 |
| 09-22 08:43 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,125,000 and $1,161,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.429 | $7.39 |
| 09-20 13:10 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.468 | $9.59 |
| 09-20 04:25 | Will Ella Langley win Female Vocalist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 09-19 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 19? | SELL | 0.5635387488 | $12.07 |
| 09-19 02:34 | Will Red Bull Win the 2026 Esports Commercial Partner of the Year Award? | SELL | 0.41 | $9.02 |