FrogCharts
0x3f41732df5afa542082d9878fa94a9f19e769979
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $99.1k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.263Will there be a power grid emergency in the Midwest before October 1?
- +$1.1kat 0.344Over $1M committed to the Linera public sale?
- +$741.95at 0.393Will there be a power grid emergency in the Mid-Atlantic before October 1?
- +$598.73at 0.121Will Ukraine target Moscow by August 26, 2026?
- +$486.02at 0.307Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 08:38 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | SELL | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 09-20 05:02 | Israel military action against Lebanon on September 18? | BUY | 0.1996168582 | $57.31 |
| 09-20 04:11 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | SELL | 0.2620727382 | $34.73 |
| 09-20 03:56 | Will London have between 30-40mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.1814232113 | $126.20 |
| 09-20 03:55 | Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.885 | $142.28 |
| 09-20 03:51 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $33.88 |
| 09-20 03:51 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | BUY | 0.2244542869 | $89.19 |
| 09-20 03:46 | Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.2427986348 | $28.46 |
| 09-20 01:59 | OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by September 30? | BUY | 0.7043678803 | $126.14 |
| 09-20 01:48 | Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.79 | $31.60 |
| 09-20 01:35 | Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.76 | $0.76 |
| 09-20 01:35 | Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.744877193 | $636.87 |
| 09-20 01:32 | Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.9 | $37.21 |
| 09-20 01:27 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 09-20 01:25 | Will London have between 40-50mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.901 | $33.91 |