PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.14. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.13 to 0.29. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.14130130
0.1520150
0.1920170
0.3720190
0.3833223
0.4010233
0.8730263
0.8850313
0.9021334
0.9618351
0.9727378
0.98120498

Spread0.01Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13185185
0.1220205
0.1175280
0.1021301
0.085306
0.0773379
0.0510389
0.0449438
0.036444
0.0231475
0.0129504

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87185185
0.8820205
0.8975280
0.9021301
0.925306
0.9373379
0.9510389
0.9649438
0.976444
0.9831475
0.9929504

Spread0.01Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.86130130
0.8520150
0.8120170
0.6320190
0.6233223
0.6010233
0.1330263
0.1250313
0.1021334
0.0418351
0.0327378
0.02120498

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
hereweYes215
AiBirdYes100
ghorrockYes77.64
pootytherewardfarmerYes76
LornaPredictsYes60
lievreYes51.22
chessplayerYes45
HornyBibiYes40
romanew-1-newYes32.89
AJSVYes29.51
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.Yes20
FluoYes20
lolzzzlolYes20
Dr.PNLYes19.99
tradetosurvive1Yes16
OlcanNo310.17
0xff1e352d5310eab17d1e9fd7e00ec33f16c05e2No296.61
HBOfanNo124.81
zerosixtynineNo58.93
WeJustBettinNo15.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:32:50SELLYes0.1420$2.80
15:26:36SELLYes0.1320$2.60
15:26:17SELLYes0.18580$14.80
00:57:19BUYNo0.7964097428125$99.40
04:24:51BUYNo0.789999969715$12.00
06:00:28BUYNo0.8133$26.64
05:57:51BUYNo0.785$3.90
05:57:39BUYNo0.7821$16.41
19:50:10BUYYes0.1880$14.40
19:49:19BUYYes0.13115$14.95
18:02:58SELLYes0.129$1.08
18:02:52SELLYes0.1229$3.48
13:46:18SELLYes0.1229$3.54
07:07:28SELLNo0.8711$9.57
18:52:55SELLYes0.1220$2.40
13:39:45SELLNo0.8453$44.81
11:46:37SELLYes0.1420$2.80
02:16:13BUYYes0.1640$6.40
17:12:16SELLNo0.8640228503133$114.95
14:49:51SELLYes0.1120$2.20
10:51:01SELLNo0.8930$26.70
10:50:18SELLNo0.8320$17.00
10:50:16SELLNo0.923306878360$55.84
10:49:36SELLYes0.0420$0.80
10:49:34BUYNo0.8078114379474$382.65