PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

herewe

0x3b5ba62bdbc408fe7800513c07db6b40a8b526fa

Realised P&L
$-6.8k
Volume
$502.5k
Markets traded
205
Open portfolio
$13.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded205
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2160.165$3.8k$1.2k
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1330.055$2.7k$3.8k
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? · Yes0.3050.175$1.8k$1.4k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.2540.825$825.00+$571.00
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2410.165$661.61$305.37
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0210.024$599.14+$59.16
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · Yes0.2940.500$547.41+$225.33
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · No0.3430.905$389.98+$241.98
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1170.065$288.83$230.17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1450.055$227.86$372.13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7601.000$200.00+$48.00
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · No0.7290.845$169.00+$23.16
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7280.841$168.10+$22.53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2200.155$140.91$59.09
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0280.033$116.35+$16.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 19:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$14.40
09-15 19:49Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by September 30, 2026?BUY0.13$14.95
09-15 19:48Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3770824216$25.85
09-15 19:48Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?SELL0.97208346$486.04
09-05 01:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.49$91.88
07-29 18:18Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$64.00
07-28 23:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.76$152.00
07-24 16:00Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?BUY0.19$38.00
07-24 15:57Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$80.00
07-24 15:56Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$192.00
07-24 15:55Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3$60.00
07-17 17:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.26$104.00
07-17 17:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.26$52.00
07-17 01:28Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?BUY0.025$2.53
07-17 01:28Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?BUY0.025$7.28