PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fluo

0x2b340fca886b3c7a2cc928c4a89162133fe4b202

Realised P&L
$-6.1k
Volume
$3.04M
Markets traded
6,391
Open portfolio
$13.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,391
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Progreso be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División? · Yes0.5830.844$261.93+$80.92
Will River Plate be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)? · No0.9100.968$212.95+$12.68
Will Tyra Hurricane Black qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.6010.685$190.43+$23.45
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? · No0.8960.933$186.70+$7.50
Will Zoey Weil qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.9360.951$136.87+$2.07
Will FC Lausanne-Sport be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League? · No0.4530.505$131.30+$13.60
Will Imelda Castro Castro win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? · No0.3970.380$128.27−$5.58
Will Brooke Buckner qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.8520.865$125.86+$1.82
Will Kiora Kunimoto qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.9150.951$123.58+$4.55
Will Anna Leigh Waters qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.9160.845$120.49−$10.21
Will Sahra Dennehy qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.9560.968$116.10+$1.38
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? · No0.6810.505$110.29−$38.42
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4940.500$107.72+$1.17
Will Estudiantes (LP) be relegated from the 2026 Liga Profesional (Argentina)? · No0.9190.975$107.19+$6.09
Will Noe Khlif reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.1650.525$105.00+$72.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 10:08Will Partizan be relegated from the 2026-27 Serbian SuperLiga?BUY0.5$3.86
09-26 12:26Will IFK Göteborg be relegated from the 2026 Allsvenskan (Sweden)?SELL0.989$39.56
09-26 12:24Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?SELL0.36$23.85
09-26 12:24Will Jan Liggett win the 2026 Cambridge mayoral election?SELL0.77$46.18
09-26 12:23Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026?SELL0.9883013711$110.28
09-26 12:22Will Jaxson Dart have 249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.95$27.55
09-26 12:21Will Atletico Mineiro win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?SELL0.34$28.57
09-22 07:18Will Clavicular visit the Philippines in 2026?SELL0.14$2.80
09-22 07:18Will Clavicular visit South Korea in 2026?BUY0.85$11.33
09-21 13:40Will Netanyahu say "Negotiate" or "Negotiated" or "Negotiation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.38$7.60
09-20 20:38Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?BUY0.896$98.56
09-20 20:32Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?BUY0.09$3.60
09-20 20:32Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?BUY0.08$5.83
09-20 19:26Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.6$5.40
09-20 19:23Will Netanyahu say "Antisemitic" or "Antisemitism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?BUY0.11$6.60