HornyBibi
0x708dba576d798c24215e267413503269fe39ea78
- Realised P&L
- $26.3k
- Volume
- $1.61M
- Markets traded
- 489
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded489
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.0kat 0.260Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
- +$5.1kat 0.502US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$4.2kat 0.591Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
- +$3.9kat 0.621US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
- +$3.3kat 0.398Will Trump say "Western Hemisphere" during the State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 20:44 | Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $10.87 |
| 09-20 05:22 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.1 | $25.50 |
| 09-18 21:33 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $910.43 |
| 09-18 19:02 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | SELL | 0.0408293217 | $93.30 |
| 09-16 17:36 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.6k |
| 09-16 03:06 | Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.939914435 | $43.17 |
| 09-16 03:06 | Will Donald Trump be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.60 |
| 09-15 23:49 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | SELL | 0.039 | $11.73 |
| 09-14 23:07 | Will Marco Rubio give the next White House press briefing? | BUY | 0.1658427816 | $4.39 |
| 09-14 22:23 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.9227640735 | $2.1k |
| 09-14 22:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $861.32 |
| 09-14 22:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $909.17 |
| 09-14 21:55 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.9020290525 | $2.3k |
| 09-14 20:52 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | SELL | 0.0491980063 | $35.73 |
| 09-14 20:34 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.7895600069 | $681.90 |