PolyBot

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Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-11-08

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.002 over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.002 to 0.004. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00228,72028,720
0.003528,725
0.0045,00033,725
0.0058,90942,634
0.00613,31555,949
0.007142,554198,504
0.008121,036319,540
0.009570,830890,369
0.0103,116893,485
0.0113,020896,505
0.0145,875902,380
0.015201,0901,103,470

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001508,441508,441

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999508,441508,441

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99828,72028,720
0.997528,725
0.9965,00033,725
0.9958,90942,634
0.99413,31555,949
0.993142,554198,504
0.992121,036319,540
0.991570,830890,369
0.9903,116893,485
0.9893,020896,505
0.9865,875902,380
0.985201,0901,103,470

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
gloriafosterYes1,625,508.85
bernardbulletinYes356,613.06
TedforPrez29Yes133,333.33
asdf8888Yes129,458.75
mombilYes111,981.95
0x253d…3307Yes69,848.92
J-E-RYes57,469.75
DonnieBannonYes50,991.05
0x73C7c75cdF2B911eC343D76aE7330ac6A146b175-1721616335613Yes50,000
AnonymousUsernameYes39,469.13
plumbisYes35,403.82
cigarettesYes34,589.52
xlefgerxYes26,416.48
rjpolyYes26,077.69
ImJustKenYes25,000.01
LeopoldArschenbrennerYes23,345.89
knradYes23,112.73
11122Yes19,999.84
KKchallengeYes19,461.51
zzzx2Yes14,207.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:41:16BUYYes0.002883$1.77
19:16:15SELLYes0.00252,413$104.83
19:07:09SELLYes0.003626$1.88
18:56:04SELLYes0.003933$2.80
17:53:28SELLYes0.002107814429,870$62.96
16:01:54SELLNo0.9951$1.03
15:57:46BUYNo0.9961$1.00
13:19:30SELLYes0.004336$1.35
11:44:31SELLYes0.004150$0.60
04:51:57BUYYes0.004150$0.60
21:26:04SELLNo0.9950$0.09
21:20:30SELLNo0.9951$0.92
21:15:55BUYNo0.99699903291$1.00
18:09:15SELLNo0.9951$1.46
18:04:37BUYNo0.99699999942$1.54
15:47:25SELLNo0.9950$0.11
15:47:01SELLNo0.9951$1.12
15:42:37BUYNo0.99699999921$1.21
13:24:45SELLYes0.003627$1.88
13:20:25BUYYes0.004627$2.51
13:02:34SELLNo0.9960$0.09
12:33:07SELLNo0.9960$0.12
12:33:00SELLNo0.9960$0.42
12:32:54SELLNo0.9960$0.33
12:28:16BUYNo0.9971$1.00