PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Ztalic

0x26a9db0464b0223ec750d64db9c8f3b27dc2f6b7

Realised P&L
$21.6k
Volume
$4.15M
Markets traded
849
Open portfolio
$44.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded849
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No0.9340.984$7.4k+$373.81
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.595$7.4k+$1.2k
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.405$5.0k$1.2k
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.8920.935$4.2k+$192.40
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8? · Yes0.9040.991$2.0k+$179.21
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.029$1.4k+$735.30
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8500.900$1.0k+$57.50
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0740.146$849.70+$421.96
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.8450.895$699.29+$38.76
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5910.555$638.25$41.25
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5520.555$610.50+$3.12
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · No0.8040.900$562.50+$60.00
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8? · No0.9901.000$555.72+$5.28
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5800.555$555.00$25.00
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3860.460$551.50+$87.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 17:01Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the #2 US song this week?BUY0.999$39.86
07-27 15:37Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 1?BUY0.9773259334$106.54
07-27 02:27Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.97$97.32
07-26 19:54Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.99$4.95
07-26 19:54Will "Be Her - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.99$4.95
07-26 19:54Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.9916782946$511.71
07-26 19:53Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.99$550.44
07-26 19:53Will "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.985$229.50
07-26 19:50Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.983$262.46
07-26 19:50Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.9038605933$1.9k
07-25 11:07Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 8?BUY0.9383975646$306.71
07-24 01:15Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.003$3.13
07-15 17:49Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?SELL0.997$1.8k
07-14 11:36Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.015$15.00
07-14 01:54Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?BUY0.997$39.83